Result
2:3
26/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 23
- Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (239/303) | 86% (499/580) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 63% (64/102) | 66% (76/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 43% (6/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 55% (6/11) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Nuamah P. ⚽, Borrelli G. (A),
- 11', 1 - 1, Iemmello P. ⚽, Quagliata G. (A),
- 19', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
- 21', Pigliacelli M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Besaggio M. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 46', Olzer G. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
- 51', Iemmello P. (Pen),
- 55', Coulibaly M. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
- 65', Biasci T. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Bonini F. ⚽, Quagliata G. (A),
- 69', Papetti A. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
- 71', Bisoli D. 🟨,
- 77', Borrelli G. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
- 82', Calvani G. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Bianchi F. ⚽, Bisoli D. (A),
- 90+1', Iemmello P. ↓, Pagano R. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 3, Bonini F. ⚽, Quagliata G. (A),
Chances of winning
Brescia
38% | Draw
31% | Catanzaro
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Brescia - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.28) |
3.02 ↓
(3.31) |
3.08 ↓
(3.09) |
5.9%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Brescia - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 62.5% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 9).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Catanzaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Brescia will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Pontisso S.
(Yellow Cards)
Scognamillo S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Catanzaro: Breit P.
(Injury)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Brescia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.8:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
How many head-to-head matches has Brescia won against Catanzaro?
Brescia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Brescia?
Catanzaro has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brescia - Catanzaro were as follows:
08.12.2024
Catanzaro
-
Brescia
2:1
18.05.2024
Catanzaro
-
Brescia
4:2
16.03.2024
Brescia
-
Catanzaro
1:1
23.12.2023
Catanzaro
-
Brescia
2:3
Latest results of Brescia
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
