Result
2:0
18/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 31
- Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (285/359) | 80% (312/389) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (285/359) | 80% (312/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (27/56) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (67/104) | 66% (69/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Palma M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 57', Soleri E. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
- 57', Begic T. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
- 62', Torregrossa E. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
- 62', Belloni N. ↓, Rouhi J. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Hasa L. ⚽, Zanon S. (A),
- 65', Cherubini L. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
- 67', Rubino T. 🟨,
- 67', Esposito Sa. 🟨,
- 77', Palma M. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
- 77', Conti F. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
- 80', Hasa L. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 80', Abiuso F. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 84', Esposito Sa. 🟨,
- 88', Parlanti G. ↓, Lordkipanidze D. ↑,
- 90+2', Pafundi S. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Finotto M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Carrarese
38.1% | Draw
32.4% | Sampdoria
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Carrarese - Sampdoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.43) |
2.89 ↓
(3.13) |
3.16 ↑
(2.9) |
6.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Sampdoria?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 15).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F.
(Inactive)
Oliana F.
(Yellow Cards)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
Schiavi N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sampdoria: Abildgaard O.
(Inactive)
Coda M.
(Inactive)
Ghidotti S.
(Inactive)
Henderson L.
(Injury)
Pierini N.
(Injury)
Venuti L.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Sampdoria?
Carrarese has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Carrarese?
Sampdoria has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Sampdoria were as follows:
07.12.2025
Sampdoria
-
Carrarese
3:2
25.04.2025
Carrarese
-
Sampdoria
1:0
26.12.2024
Sampdoria
-
Carrarese
1:1
Latest results of Carrarese
Latest results of Sampdoria
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
