Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 18
- Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 5 |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (586/645) | 70% (185/264) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.45 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (586/645) | 70% (185/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (30/47) | 26% (14/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (178/211) | 48% (29/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 3.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | 1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', Del Castillo R. 🟥,
- 41', 1 - 0, Sulc P. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Abner Vinicius ⚽, Endrick (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
- 57', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
- 69', Tousart L. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
- 69', Ajorque L. ↓, Guindo D. ↑,
- 74', Maitland-Niles A. ↓, Merah K. ↑,
- 74', Tessmann T. ↓, Mangala O. ↑,
- 81', Locko B. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
- 81', Lala K. ↓, Zogbe L. ↑,
- 86', Abner Vinicius 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Dina Ebimbe J. ⚽, Chardonnet B. (A),
- 89', Endrick ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
- 90', Moreira A. ↓, Himbert R. ↑,
- 90', Abner Vinicius ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lyon
57.7% | Draw
23.7% | Brest
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Lyon - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.63) |
4.04 ↑
(4.04) |
5.05 ↑
(4.99) |
4.9%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lyon - Brest?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Brest will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 61.2% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Brest (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Brest (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Lyon (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Brest (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 2.
- Lyon is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Brest has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lyon is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M.
(Ankle Injury)
Ghezzal R.
(Muscle Injury)
Molebe E.
(Inactive)
Niakhate M.
(International duty)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
Tolisso C.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Brest: Balde M.
(Injury)
Le Cardinal J.
(Red Card)
- We predict that Lyon will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Brest?
Lyon has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Lyon?
Brest has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Brest were as follows:
02.11.2025
Brest
-
Lyon
0:0
02.03.2025
Lyon
-
Brest
2:1
11.01.2025
Brest
-
Lyon
2:1
14.04.2024
Lyon
-
Brest
4:3
23.09.2023
Brest
-
Lyon
1:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52:19 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Lens | 23 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Lyon | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Lille | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 6 | Rennes | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:35 | 2 | 37 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Monaco | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | Lorient | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 11 | Brest | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Angers | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 22:28 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | Nice | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 30:43 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:40 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17:33 | -16 | 17 |
| 17 | Nantes | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22:40 | -18 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
