Brest vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest).

Ligue 1 - Round 23
Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	FOX One
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	ESPN 4 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.13	1.42
Ball possession
32%	68%
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
4	4
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
3	2
Passes
74% (226/304)	89% (566/633)
Yellow cards
1	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.13	1.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.54	1.02
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
6	9
Blocked shots
2	4
Shots inside the box
9	10
Shots outside the box
3	7
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
2	0
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
18	38
Accurate through passes
2	1
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
17	10
Passes
74% (226/304)	89% (566/633)
Long passes
47% (31/66)	57% (21/37)
Passes in final third
58% (42/73)	79% (147/187)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	27% (9/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	1.12
Throw ins
7	22
Fouls
10	17
Tackles
42% (8/19)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
59	44
Clearances
42	25
Interceptions
14	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.02	0.54
Goals prevented
1.02	-1.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ajorque L. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Ajorque L. ⚽, Magnetti H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vermeeren A. ↓, Aubameyang P. ↑,
67', Hojbjerg P. 🟨,
71', Ajorque L. 🟨,
71', Paixao I. ↓, Traore H. J. ↑,
71', Gouiri A. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
73', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
79', Timber Q. 🟨,
79', Timber Q. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
79', Doumbia K. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
82', Greenwood M. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Del Castillo R. ↓, Locko B. ↑,
89', Hojbjerg P. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
90', Nwaneri E. 🟨,
90+6', Nadir B. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Brest
24.4%

Draw
25.4%

Olympique Marseille
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

25.4%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24.6%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Brest - Olympique Marseille Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (3.92)	3.75 ↑ (3.71)	1.91 ↑ (1.86)	4.6% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Brest - Olympique Marseille?

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 6 - 10.9%). Marseille will win (votes: 43 - 78.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 67.3% – 89.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Brest (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Marseille (votes: 13 - 86.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Marseille could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Injury) Coulibaly S. (Thigh Injury) Locko B. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Marseille: Balerdi L. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Brest won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:32. (average 1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Olympique Marseille?

Brest has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Brest?

Olympique Marseille has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Olympique Marseille were as follows:

08.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Brest 3:0

27.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Brest 4:1

17.08.2024 Brest - Olympique Marseille 1:5

18.02.2024 Brest - Olympique Marseille 1:0

26.08.2023 Olympique Marseille - Brest 2:0

Latest results of Brest

14.02.2026 Lille - Brest 1:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Brest - Lorient 2:0 ✺

01.02.2026 Nice - Brest 2:2 ✺

25.01.2026 Brest - Toulouse 0:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Lyon - Brest 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Olympique Marseille

14.02.2026 Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg 2:2 ✺

08.02.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille 5:0 ✺

03.02.2026 Olympique Marseille - Rennes 3:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Paris FC - Olympique Marseille 2:2 ✺

28.01.2026 Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille 3:0 ✺

French Ligue 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	24	18	3	3	53:19	34	57
2	Lens	24	17	2	5	45:21	24	53
3	Lyon	24	14	3	7	39:26	13	45
4	Marseille	24	13	4	7	51:33	18	43
5	Lille	24	12	4	8	37:31	6	40
6	Rennes	24	11	7	6	38:35	3	40
7	Monaco	24	11	4	9	40:36	4	37
8	Strasbourg	24	10	5	9	40:31	9	35
9	Brest	24	9	6	9	32:34	-2	33
10	Lorient	24	8	9	7	34:38	-4	33
11	Toulouse	24	8	7	9	33:28	5	31
12	Angers	24	8	5	11	22:30	-8	29
13	Le Havre	24	6	8	10	20:30	-10	26
14	Paris FC	24	6	8	10	28:40	-12	26
15	Nice	24	6	6	12	30:44	-14	24
16	Auxerre	24	4	6	14	19:35	-16	18
17	Nantes	24	4	5	15	22:41	-19	17
18	Metz	24	3	4	17	22:53	-31	13

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ Ligue 2