Result
4:1
27/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 31
- Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 3 |
 Albania | K-Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, VOOsport World 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kosovo | K Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (444/502) | 84% (351/419) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (444/502) | 84% (351/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 75% (21/28) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (69/88) | 53% (42/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | -2.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Gouiri A. ⚽, Luis Henrique (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Sima A. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
- 36', Ajorque L. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 1, Greenwood M. ⚽, Rabiot A. (A),
- 41', Murillo M. 🟨,
- 45', 3 - 1, Gouiri A. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', 4 - 1, Gouiri A. ⚽, Rabiot A. (A),
- 67', Rongier V. ↓, Bennacer I. ↑,
- 67', Gouiri A. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
- 69', Sima A. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
- 69', Magnetti H. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
- 71', Chardonnet B. 🟨,
- 77', Garcia U. ↓, Cornelius D. ↑,
- 77', Balerdi L. ↓, Merlin Q. ↑,
- 78', Camara M. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 78', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
- 84', Greenwood M. ↓, Harit A. ↑,
- 87', Ajorque L. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
- 88', Le Cardinal J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille
68.7% | Draw
18.7% | Brest
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympique Marseille's performance.Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympique Marseille that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Olympique Marseille - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.65) |
5.11 ↑
(4.24) |
7.64 ↑
(4.86) |
4.7%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Brest?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Brest (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Olympique Marseille will win
(28 of 34 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.53% – 95.17%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Marseille won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Brest could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Marseille is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R.
(Ankle Injury)
Mbemba Ch.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Brest: Amavi J.
(Injury)
Bizot M.
(Yellow Cards)
Bourgault J.
(Foot Injury)
Coulibaly S.
(Injury)
Locko B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ndiaye A.
(Red Card)
Salah I.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Marseille: Balerdi L.
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Felipe
(Eye injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Marseille won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:14 (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Brest?
Olympique Marseille has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Olympique Marseille?
Brest has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Brest were as follows:
17.08.2024
Brest
-
Olympique Marseille
1:5
18.02.2024
Brest
-
Olympique Marseille
1:0
26.08.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Brest
2:0
27.05.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Brest
1:2
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
