Newcastle Knights vs Brisbane Broncos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
12:46
24/08/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2

Match Stats

Tries
29
Conversion Goals
25
Conversion Goal Attempts
210
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
10050
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
166181
Metres Run With Ball
13901894

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 14)
  • 3', Staggs K. (Try),
  • 5', Walsh R. (Missed Conversion),
  • 8', Karapani J. (Try),
  • 10', Walsh R. (Missed Conversion),
  • 27', Hetherington K. (Try),
  • 29', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', Thompson L. (Try),
  • 34', Cogger J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 32)
  • 45', Mariner D. (Try),
  • 46', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 55', Best B. (Try),
  • 56', Cogger J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 59', Haas P. (Try),
  • 60', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 66', Walsh R. (Try),
  • 68', Smoothy T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 69', Shibasaki G. (Try),
  • 70', Walsh R. (Missed Conversion),
  • 75', Mariner D. (Try),
  • 76', Hunt B. (Missed Conversion),
  • 78', Riki J. (Try),
  • 79', Hunt B. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Newcastle Knights
19.5%
Draw
3.7%
Brisbane Broncos
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 3.7% 68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 4% 63.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Knights's form might have worsened.
  • Brisbane Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Broncos's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Knights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Broncos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newcastle Knights - Brisbane Broncos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.05
    (3.35)
    25.71
    (25.5)
    1.22
    (1.37)
    5.5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 47.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)
    What is the prediction for Newcastle Knights - Brisbane Broncos?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 18:30.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 0.
    • Newcastle has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Brisbane's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Brisbane is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 324:548. (average 16.2:27.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 194:248. (average 16.2:20.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Knights - Brisbane Broncos were as follows:
    20.07.2024 Newcastle Knights - Brisbane Broncos 14:30
    10.06.2023 Brisbane Broncos - Newcastle Knights 24:20
    Latest results of Newcastle Knights
    Latest results of Brisbane Broncos
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Newcastle Knights11028:182
    2Canterbury Bulldogs11015:142
    3Brisbane Broncos0000:00
    4Canberra Raiders0000:00
    5Cronulla Sharks0000:00
    6Gold Coast Titans0000:00
    7Manly Sea Eagles0000:00
    8Melbourne Storm0000:00
    9New Zealand Warriors0000:00
    10Parramatta Eels0000:00
    11Penrith Panthers0000:00
    12South Sydney Rabbitohs0000:00
    13Sydney Roosters0000:00
    14Wests Tigers0000:00
    15Dolphins0000:00
    16St. George Illawarra Dragons10114:150
    17NQ Cowboys10118:280

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )