Sydney Swans vs Brisbane Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
104:60
14/03/2026 at 04:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy

Match Stats

Goals
158
Behinds
1412
Kicks
201226
Handballs
182117
Disposals
383343
Frees for
1819
Frees against
1918
Clearances completed
2345
Marks
9098
Tackles
5245
Hitouts
3521

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (43 - 9)
  • 00:51, Blakey N. (G),
  • 02:58, Rosas Jnr. M. (G),
  • 04:58, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 07:26, Heeney I. (G),
  • 14:13, Gulden E. (G),
  • 16:05, Amartey J. (G),
  • 17:57, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 19:05, Wilmot D. (Behind),
  • 23:01, McDonald L. (G),
  • 25:50, Gallop T. (Behind),
  • 26:53, Amartey J. (G),
  • 30:15, Cameron C. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (23 - 9)
  • 02:58, (Behind Rushed),
  • 04:22, McInerney J. (G),
  • 10:16, Reville B. (G),
  • 13:28, Amartey J. (G),
  • 15:27, Draper S. (Behind),
  • 20:04, Melican L. (Behind),
  • 21:21, Heeney I. (G),
  • 22:32, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 23:45, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 24:38, McDonald L. (Behind),
  • 25:19, (Behind Rushed),
  • 29:49, Rosas Jnr. M. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (9 - 16)
  • 02:12, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
  • 04:03, (Behind Rushed),
  • 07:03, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 10:03, McDonald L. (G),
  • 11:43, Cameron C. (G),
  • 14:53, Allen O. (G),
  • 19:04, Draper S. (Behind),
  • 20:05, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:14, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:37, (Behind Rushed),
  • 4th Quarter (29 - 26)
  • 00:18, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 04:26, Rayner C. (G),
  • 06:16, McInerney J. (G),
  • 07:25, Grundy B. (G),
  • 09:05, Amartey J. (G),
  • 12:06, Reville B. (G),
  • 13:44, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
  • 15:13, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 15:59, Roberts M. (Behind),
  • 17:49, Amartey J. (G),
  • 18:57, Berry J. (Behind),
  • 20:39, Tunstill J. (G),
  • 22:33, Draper S. (Behind),
  • 25:56, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:06, Wicks S. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Sydney Swans
64.3%
Brisbane Lions
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydney Swans's performance.
  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.85)

    2.7
    (1.97)
    8.5%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 184.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 1.
    • Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sydney is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1525:1423. (average 80.3:74.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 617:684. (average 68.6:76).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Brisbane Lions - Sydney Swans 90:92
    15.03.2025 Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions 82:86
    28.09.2024 Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions 60:120
    20.07.2024 Brisbane Lions - Sydney Swans 79:77
    29.02.2024 Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions 56:81
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Gold Coast Suns3300384:201191.0412
    2Western Bulldogs3300339:247137.2512
    3Sydney Swans3201318:228139.478
    4Hawthorn Hawks3201339:287118.128
    5Fremantle Dockers2101218:180121.114
    6North Melbourne2101207:178116.294
    7Port Adelaide Power2101200:183109.294
    8Adelaide Crows2101181:173104.624
    9Collingwood Magpies2101157:15998.744
    10St Kilda Saints3102251:27292.284
    11Melbourne Demons2101190:22584.444
    12West Coast Eagles2101183:22581.334
    13GWS Giants3102249:30781.114
    14Geelong Cats2101179:22579.564
    15Carlton Blues2101144:20370.944
    16Brisbane Lions2002166:21577.210
    17Richmond Tigers2002131:20364.530
    18Essendon Bombers2002153:27855.040

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