Sydney Swans vs Brisbane Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
104:60
14/03/2026 at 04:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy

Match Stats

Goals
158
Behinds
1412
Kicks
201226
Handballs
182117
Disposals
383343
Frees for
1819
Frees against
1918
Clearances completed
2345
Marks
9098
Tackles
5245
Hitouts
3521

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (43 - 9)
  • 00:51, Blakey N. (G),
  • 02:58, Rosas Jnr. M. (G),
  • 04:58, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 07:26, Heeney I. (G),
  • 14:13, Gulden E. (G),
  • 16:05, Amartey J. (G),
  • 17:57, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 19:05, Wilmot D. (Behind),
  • 23:01, McDonald L. (G),
  • 25:50, Gallop T. (Behind),
  • 26:53, Amartey J. (G),
  • 30:15, Cameron C. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (23 - 9)
  • 02:58, (Behind Rushed),
  • 04:22, McInerney J. (G),
  • 10:16, Reville B. (G),
  • 13:28, Amartey J. (G),
  • 15:27, Draper S. (Behind),
  • 20:04, Melican L. (Behind),
  • 21:21, Heeney I. (G),
  • 22:32, Rayner C. (Behind),
  • 23:45, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 24:38, McDonald L. (Behind),
  • 25:19, (Behind Rushed),
  • 29:49, Rosas Jnr. M. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (9 - 16)
  • 02:12, Ashcroft L. (Behind),
  • 04:03, (Behind Rushed),
  • 07:03, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 10:03, McDonald L. (G),
  • 11:43, Cameron C. (G),
  • 14:53, Allen O. (G),
  • 19:04, Draper S. (Behind),
  • 20:05, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:14, (Behind Rushed),
  • 24:37, (Behind Rushed),
  • 4th Quarter (29 - 26)
  • 00:18, Lohmann K. (G),
  • 04:26, Rayner C. (G),
  • 06:16, McInerney J. (G),
  • 07:25, Grundy B. (G),
  • 09:05, Amartey J. (G),
  • 12:06, Reville B. (G),
  • 13:44, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
  • 15:13, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 15:59, Roberts M. (Behind),
  • 17:49, Amartey J. (G),
  • 18:57, Berry J. (Behind),
  • 20:39, Tunstill J. (G),
  • 22:33, Draper S. (Behind),
  • 25:56, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:06, Wicks S. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Sydney Swans
64.3%
Brisbane Lions
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydney Swans's performance.
  • Brisbane Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.85)

    2.7
    (1.97)
    8.5%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 184.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 1.
    • Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Sydney is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1525:1423. (average 80.3:74.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 617:684. (average 68.6:76).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Brisbane Lions - Sydney Swans 90:92
    15.03.2025 Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions 82:86
    28.09.2024 Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions 60:120
    20.07.2024 Brisbane Lions - Sydney Swans 79:77
    29.02.2024 Sydney Swans - Brisbane Lions 56:81
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    Latest results of Brisbane Lions
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans5401581:331175.5316
    2Fremantle Dockers5401444:338131.3616
    3Hawthorn Hawks5401535:442121.0416
    4Western Bulldogs5401502:416120.6716
    5Gold Coast Suns5302541:410131.9512
    6Brisbane Lions5302490:426115.0212
    7North Melbourne5302450:425105.8812
    8Geelong Cats5302460:453101.5512
    9Melbourne Demons5302467:50492.6612
    10Port Adelaide Power5203447:404110.648
    11Adelaide Crows5203431:405106.428
    12GWS Giants5203434:46992.548
    13Collingwood Magpies5203348:37792.318
    14St Kilda Saints5203412:45291.158
    15West Coast Eagles5203386:60064.338
    16Carlton Blues5104393:51376.614
    17Essendon Bombers5104400:52676.054
    18Richmond Tigers5005297:52756.360

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