Bristol City vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons
Result
2:0
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.57
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
20
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
78% (354/456)60% (146/243)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.00
Total shots
135
Shots on target
20
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2815
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
116
Passes
78% (354/456)60% (146/243)
Long passes
29% (17/59)30% (21/69)
Passes in final third
62% (73/118)47% (42/90)
Crosses
31% (5/16)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.48
Throw-ins
2926
Fouls
712
Tackles
68% (13/19)50% (7/14)
Duels won
6449
Clearances
2525
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.001.16
Goals prevented
0.00-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Knight J. , Twine S. (A),
  • 31', Thompson N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kelly L. , Gilbey A. ,
  • 46', Morrison E. , Hirakawa Y. ,
  • 46', Yeboah E. , Riis E. ,
  • 54', Hogan S. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Hirakawa Y. , Twine S. (A),
  • 62', Twine S. , Armstrong S. ,
  • 62', Mehmeti A. , Stokes J. ,
  • 62', Hogan S. , Paterson C. ,
  • 63', Thompson N. , Offord L. ,
  • 63', Hepburn-Murphy R. , Tomlinson J. ,
  • 71', Collar W. , Sanders J. ,
  • 75', Randell A. , Bird M. ,

Chances of winning


Bristol City
62.9%
Draw
21.9%
Milton Keynes Dons
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 24.7% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol City's performance.
  • Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.64)
    4.29
    (3.8)
    6.17
    (5.17)
    5%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Bristol City will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.42%98.24%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3.
    • MK Dons has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Bristol City is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Bristol City will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
    Latest results of Bristol City
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham