Bristol City vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol).

Championship - Round 16
Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.03	0.87
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
8	5
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
83% (353/423)	88% (483/548)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03	0.87
xG on target (xGOT)
2.16	0.62
Total shots
15	17
Shots on target
8	5
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
2	8
Shots inside the Box
9	9
Shots outside the Box
6	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
19	20
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
7	10
Passes
83% (353/423)	88% (483/548)
Long passes
40% (17/43)	54% (27/50)
Passes in final third
64% (54/84)	75% (103/138)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.86	0.66
Throw-ins
16	16
Fouls
10	7
Tackles
57% (12/21)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
40	40
Clearances
23	19
Interceptions
10	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
0.62	2.16
Goals prevented
0.62	-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Dickie R. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Riis E. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', McCrorie R. 🟨,
52', Randell A. 🟨,
58', McCrorie R. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
58', Riis E. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
65', Stamenic M. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
65', Eom J. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
65', Cullen L. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
68', Samuels-Smith I. ↓, Santos R. ↑,
72', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
72', Neto Borges ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
78', Key J. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Hirakawa Y. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
84', Armstrong S. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,

Chances of winning

Bristol City
46.4%

Draw
27.7%

Swansea City
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

28.9%

28.7%

Bristol City - Swansea City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.24)	3.45 ↑ (3.26)	3.65 ↑ (3.28)	3.7% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bristol City - Swansea City?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 54.4% – 89.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 2.
Bristol City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Swansea's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Bristol City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Bristol City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R. (Hamstring Injury) Bird M. (Calf Injury) Cornick H. (Knee Injury) Knight J. (Groin Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Sykes M. (Shin Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Swansea: Cabango B. (Yellow Cards) Tymon J. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Bristol City: Neto Borges (Calf Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.8:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Swansea City?

Bristol City has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Bristol City?

Swansea City has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Swansea City were as follows:

09.02.2025 Bristol City - Swansea City 0:1

29.09.2024 Swansea City - Bristol City 1:1

10.03.2024 Bristol City - Swansea City 1:0

02.09.2023 Swansea City - Bristol City 1:2

19.03.2023 Swansea City - Bristol City 2:0

Latest results of Bristol City

07.11.2025 Watford - Bristol City 1:1 ✺

04.11.2025 Bristol City - Blackburn Rovers 0:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Stoke City - Bristol City 5:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Bristol City - Birmingham City 1:0 ✺

21.10.2025 Bristol City - Southampton 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Swansea City

08.11.2025 Swansea City - Ipswich Town 1:4 ✺

05.11.2025 Preston North End - Swansea City 2:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Charlton Athletic - Swansea City 1:1 ✺

29.10.2025 Swansea City - Manchester City 1:3 ✺

25.10.2025 Swansea City - Norwich City 2:1 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	17	12	4	1	47:17	30	40
2	Stoke	17	9	3	5	25:12	13	30
3	Middlesbrough	17	8	6	3	22:18	4	30
4	Millwall	17	8	4	5	19:23	-4	28
5	Ipswich	16	7	6	3	28:16	12	27
6	Preston	17	7	6	4	22:17	5	27
7	Bristol City	17	7	5	5	25:20	5	26
8	Derby	17	7	5	5	24:23	1	26
9	Birmingham	17	7	4	6	25:19	6	25
10	Wrexham	17	6	7	4	22:19	3	25
11	Hull	17	7	4	6	28:29	-1	25
12	QPR	17	7	4	6	21:25	-4	25
13	Southampton	17	6	6	5	26:22	4	24
14	Watford	17	6	6	5	23:21	2	24
15	Leicester	17	6	6	5	20:20	0	24
16	Charlton	17	6	5	6	17:20	-3	23
17	West Brom	17	6	4	7	17:20	-3	22
18	Blackburn	16	6	1	9	16:21	-5	19
19	Swansea	17	4	5	8	16:24	-8	17
20	Portsmouth	17	4	5	8	15:24	-9	17
21	Sheffield Utd	17	5	1	11	17:26	-9	16
22	Oxford Utd	17	3	6	8	18:24	-6	15
23	Norwich	17	2	4	11	16:28	-12	10
24	Sheffield Wed	17	1	5	11	12:33	-21	-4

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One