Swansea City vs Bristol City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea).

Championship - Round 33
Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.59	0.73
Ball possession
44%	56%
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
3	2
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
3	5
Passes
65% (226/347)	74% (335/451)
Yellow cards
2	4
Expected goals (xG)
0.59	0.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.68	0.49
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
2	7
Blocked shots
3	3
Shots inside the box
6	7
Shots outside the box
2	5
Hit the woodwork
0	2
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
18	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free kicks
11	14
Passes
65% (226/347)	74% (335/451)
Long passes
28% (21/75)	36% (25/69)
Passes in final third
58% (84/144)	58% (64/111)
Crosses
10% (1/10)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.45	0.57
Throw ins
34	25
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
64% (9/14)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
40	60
Clearances
33	26
Interceptions
16	16
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.49	0.68
Goals prevented
0.49	-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽,
44', Widell M. 🟨,
45+1', Earthy G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Gustavo Nunes ↓, Ronald ↑,
56', Randell A. ↓, Bird M. ↑,
56', Horvat T. ↓, Twine S. ↑,
65', Earthy G. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
66', Burgzorg D. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
70', Widell M. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
72', Armstrong S. 🟨,
79', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
79', Franco G. ↓, Walta L. ↑,
79', Galbraith E. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
80', Armstrong S. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
87', Fulton J. 🟨,
90', Bird M. 🟨,
90+2', Twine S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Swansea City
46.6%

Draw
27.3%

Bristol City
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27.3%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Swansea City - Bristol City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.14)	3.47 ↑ (3.46)	3.63 ↑ (3.32)	5% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Swansea City - Bristol City?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Bristol City will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 26.7% – 80.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Swansea could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Swansea: Idah A. (Groin Injury) Inoussa Z. (Injury) Santos R. (Inactive) Stamenic M. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Bristol City: McNally L. (Knee Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Bristol City?

Swansea City has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Swansea City?

Bristol City has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Bristol City were as follows:

22.11.2025 Bristol City - Swansea City 3:0

09.02.2025 Bristol City - Swansea City 0:1

29.09.2024 Swansea City - Bristol City 1:1

10.03.2024 Bristol City - Swansea City 1:0

02.09.2023 Swansea City - Bristol City 1:2

Latest results of Swansea City

14.02.2026 Derby County - Swansea City 2:0 ✺

08.02.2026 Swansea City - Sheffield Wednesday 4:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Watford - Swansea City 0:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Hull City - Swansea City 2:1 ✺

20.01.2026 Swansea City - Blackburn Rovers 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Bristol City

17.02.2026 Bristol City - Wrexham 2:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Hull City - Bristol City 2:3 ✺

30.01.2026 Bristol City - Derby County 0:5 ✺

24.01.2026 Bristol City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:0 ✺

20.01.2026 Ipswich Town - Bristol City 2:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	34	20	8	6	70:37	33	68
2	Middlesbrough	34	18	9	7	51:34	17	63
3	Millwall	34	17	8	9	45:40	5	59
4	Ipswich	32	16	9	7	56:34	22	57
5	Hull	33	17	6	10	55:48	7	57
6	Wrexham	34	14	12	8	53:45	8	54
7	Watford	35	13	12	10	45:41	4	51
8	Southampton	34	13	11	10	54:45	9	50
9	Bristol City	35	14	8	13	48:44	4	50
10	Preston	34	12	13	9	41:38	3	49
11	Birmingham	34	13	10	11	45:43	2	49
12	Derby	34	13	9	12	49:45	4	48
13	Stoke	34	13	8	13	38:32	6	47
14	QPR	34	13	8	13	46:52	-6	47
15	Swansea	34	13	7	14	40:40	0	46
16	Sheffield Utd	34	14	3	17	48:48	0	45
17	Norwich	34	12	6	16	45:44	1	42
18	Charlton	34	10	11	13	33:43	-10	41
19	Portsmouth	33	10	9	14	34:43	-9	39
20	Blackburn	34	10	8	16	32:43	-11	38
21	West Brom	34	9	8	17	33:50	-17	35
22	Leicester	34	10	10	14	47:54	-7	34
23	Oxford Utd	34	6	11	17	29:46	-17	29
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	34	1	8	25	20:68	-48	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One