Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 40
- Referee: Bond D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (328/422) | 86% (466/545) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (328/422) | 86% (466/545) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (23/64) | 50% (29/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (94/142) | 57% (46/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 44% (11/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', Baah K. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
- 24', 1 - 0, McCrorie R. ⚽,
- 29', 2 - 0, Wells N. ⚽, Sykes M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Bayo V. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
- 60', Sissoko M. ↓, Chakvetadze G. ↑,
- 63', Wells N. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
- 64', McCrorie R. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
- 64', Williams J. ↓, McGuane M. ↑,
- 69', Earthy G. 🟨,
- 72', Bird M. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,
- 79', Ngakia J. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
- 79', Wiley C. ↓, Larouci Y. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Doumbia M. ⚽, Louza I. (A),
- 90+1', Sykes M. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bristol City
50.8% | Draw
26.6% | Watford
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Bristol City - Watford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.8) |
3.59 ↑
(3.5) |
4.22 ↓
(4.62) |
5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bristol City - Watford?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Watford will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 1.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match Bristol City is a favorite.
- There will not play in Bristol City: Benarous A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Campbell-Slowey J.
(Calf Injury)
McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Watford: Keben K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:23 (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bristol City won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Watford?
Bristol City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Bristol City?
Watford has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Watford were as follows:
26.11.2024
Watford
-
Bristol City
1:0
20.01.2024
Bristol City
-
Watford
1:1
26.12.2023
Watford
-
Bristol City
1:4
15.04.2023
Watford
-
Bristol City
2:0
12.11.2022
Bristol City
-
Watford
0:0
Latest results of Bristol City
Latest results of Watford
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
