Result
3:2 penalties
02/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 3.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (149/241) | 83% (459/553) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 3.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (149/241) | 83% (459/553) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (21/74) | 56% (36/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 41% (27/66) | 74% (134/180) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.66 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Harrison E. (Pen),
- 18', 2 - 0, Harrison E. ⚽, Thomas L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', McConnell G. ↓, Brophy J. ↑,
- 46', Cotterill J. ↓, Howley R. ↑,
- 46', Harrison E. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
- 46', McEachran J. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
- 51', Chang A. 🟨,
- 56', Issaka F. ↓, Morton C. ↑,
- 64', Kachunga E. ↓, Munday G. ↑,
- 64', Jobe M. ↓, Watts K. ↑,
- 66', Hoddle G. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 1, Watts K. ⚽, Munday G. (A),
- 69', Lopata K. ↓, Moore T. ↑,
- 77', Conteh K. 🟨,
- 83', Knight B. ↓, Mayor A. ↑,
- 83', Gibbons J. ↓, Bennett L. ↑,
- 84', Howley R. 🟨,
- 87', Mola C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Southwood L. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Kaikai S. (Pen),
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Cavegn F. (Pen),
- 1, Kaikai S. (Pen),
- 2, Sparkes J. (Pen),
- 2, Brophy J. (Pen),
- 3, Thomas L. (Pen),
- 3, Munday G. (Pen),
- 4, Morton C. (Pen),
- 4, Mpanzu P. (Pen),
- 5, Conteh K. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
40.8% | Draw
31.2% | Cambridge United
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Bristol Rovers - Cambridge United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.68) |
3.2 ↓
(3.38) |
3.67 ↑
(2.37) |
1.3%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Cambridge United?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Cambridge will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 4.
- Recent form of Bristol Rovers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cambridge is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Cambridge United?
Bristol Rovers has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Bristol Rovers?
Cambridge United has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Cambridge United were as follows:
23.08.2025
Bristol Rovers
-
Cambridge United
1:0
12.08.2025
Bristol Rovers
-
Cambridge United
0:2
04.01.2025
Cambridge United
-
Bristol Rovers
0:1
31.08.2024
Bristol Rovers
-
Cambridge United
2:0
16.04.2024
Bristol Rovers
-
Cambridge United
1:0
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Cambridge United
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | |
| 10 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 11 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 12 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | AFC Wimbledon | |
| 6 | Luton | Swindon | |
| 7 | Northampton | Walsall | |
| 8 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | |
