Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 32
- Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (192/338) | 64% (246/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (192/338) | 64% (246/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (19/87) | 29% (28/97) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (51/120) | 43% (67/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 84 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 34', 1 - 0, Knight B. ⚽,
- 44', Purrington B. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Quigley J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Cavegn F. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 1, Knight B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Sparkes J. 🟨,
- 65', Leigh T. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
- 65', De Havilland R. ↓, Smallwood R. ↑,
- 66', Ball D. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
- 67', Knight B. ↓, Raggett S. ↑,
- 72', Harrison E. 🟨,
- 77', Appere L. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
- 77', McLoughlin S. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 1, Watts K. ⚽, Raggett S. (A),
- 80', Mola C. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 80', Quigley J. ↓, Omochere P. ↑,
- 84', Kilgour A. 🟨,
- 84', Kaikai S. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 90+5', Omochere P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cambridge United
54.4% | Draw
26.4% | Bristol Rovers
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.81) |
3.55 ↑
(3.36) |
4.87 ↑
(4.27) |
6.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers?
Users Predictions:
Cambridge United will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cambridge United will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1.
- Cambridge is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bristol Rovers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bristol Rovers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cambridge is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayor A.
(Inactive)
Morrison M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Southam-Hales M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Inactive)
Smith K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Lockyer T.
(Inactive)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- We predict that Cambridge will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Bristol Rovers?
Cambridge United has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Cambridge United?
Bristol Rovers has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
02.12.2025
Bristol Rovers
-
Cambridge United
3:2
23.08.2025
Bristol Rovers
-
Cambridge United
1:0
12.08.2025
Bristol Rovers
-
Cambridge United
0:2
04.01.2025
Cambridge United
-
Bristol Rovers
0:1
31.08.2024
Bristol Rovers
-
Cambridge United
2:0
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
