Result
0:1
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 18
- Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (392/519) | 61% (157/257) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (392/519) | 61% (157/257) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (49/106) | 22% (17/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (164/236) | 39% (28/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (13/35) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Robertson S. 🟨,
- 32', Bennetts K. 🟨,
- 34', Harrison E. 🟨,
- 35', Hall T. 🟥,
- 41', Southam-Hales M. ↓, Issaka F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Forde S. ↓, McEachran J. ↑,
- 51', Negru S. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
- 53', Jatta A. 🟨,
- 68', Jatta A. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
- 68', Iorpenda T. ↓, Norburn O. ↑,
- 69', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
- 86', Harrison E. ↓, Morton C. ↑,
- 86', Grant C. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
- 86', Bennetts K. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽, Gordon K. (A),
- 89', Gordon K. 🟨,
- 90+4', Mola C. 🟨,
- 90+5', Norburn O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
32.6% | Draw
28.7% | Notts County
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Bristol Rovers - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↓
(2.92) |
3.28 ↓
(3.33) |
2.42 ↑
(2.31) |
6.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Recent performances by Bristol Rovers have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Notts County is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Kilgour A.
(Inactive)
Lopata K.
(Inactive)
McEachran J.
(Inactive)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K.
(Knee Injury)
Luker J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Chang A.
(Injury)
Senior J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Notts County: McDonald R.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Notts County?
Bristol Rovers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Bristol Rovers?
Notts County has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Notts County were as follows:
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
