Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 44
- Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (197/325) | 64% (198/307) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (197/325) | 64% (198/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (37/97) | 35% (29/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (74/146) | 57% (82/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 52% (12/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Kenneh N. 🟨,
- 34', Harbottle R. 🟨,
- 45+3', O'Connor L. ↓, Brough P. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Leigh T. ↓, McEachran J. ↑,
- 60', Cavegn F. ↓, Omochere P. ↑,
- 63', Finley S. 🟨,
- 63', Balmer K. 🟨,
- 64', Woolery K. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
- 64', Kenneh N. ↓, Watson R. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Omochere P. ⚽, Young B. (A),
- 71', 1 - 1, Joseph J. ⚽, Bristow E. (A),
- 75', Smith N. 🟨,
- 78', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
- 79', Quigley J. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
- 79', Obiero Z. ↓, Whitaker C. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Akhamrich Y. ⚽, Forde S. (A),
- 90+2', Dennis K. 🟨,
- 90+2', Young B. 🟨,
- 90+7', Forde S. ↓, Rijks M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tranmere Rovers 32.4% | Draw 28.1% | Bristol Rovers 39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-2%)
Tranmere Rovers - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.91 ↑ (2.65) |
3.3 ↑ (3.26) |
2.37 ↓ (2.49) |
6.8% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Bristol Rovers?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 40% – 93.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 1.
- Tranmere has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bristol Rovers is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Knee Injury)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
Murphy J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Lockyer T.
(Red Card)
Omochere P.
(Inactive)
Southam-Hales M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Bristol Rovers?
Tranmere Rovers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Tranmere Rovers?
Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
18.10.2025
Bristol Rovers
-
Tranmere Rovers
1:4
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One