Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 38
Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.36	0.26
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
8	5
Shots on target
2	1
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
2	0
Passes
61% (190/309)	52% (140/270)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.36	0.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.38	0.25
Total shots
8	5
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked shots
0	0
Shots inside the box
4	4
Shots outside the box
4	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
2	0
Touches in opposition box
13	7
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
6	3
Free kicks
10	11
Passes
61% (190/309)	52% (140/270)
Long passes
38% (34/90)	30% (29/96)
Passes in final third
50% (71/141)	34% (31/91)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.64	0.32
Throw ins
25	27
Fouls
11	10
Tackles
75% (9/12)	100% (10/10)
Duels won
56	53
Clearances
14	34
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.25	0.38
Goals prevented
0.25	-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Harbottle R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Morgan I. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
63', Harbottle R. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
63', Cavegn F. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
63', Quigley J. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Leigh T. ⚽,
80', Freeman N. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
86', Leigh T. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
88', Scully A. ↓, Gray W. ↑,
89', Stubbs S. ↓, Benning M. ↑,
90+11', McDermott T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
46.2%

Draw
28.4%

Shrewsbury Town
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.1%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rovers's performance.

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.25)	3.3 ↑ (3.15)	3.66 ↑ (3.05)	6.7% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 19 and 18)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 3.
Bristol Rovers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shrewsbury's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Shrewsbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Bristol Rovers might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Red Card) McEachran J. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Injury)
There will not play in Shrewsbury: Hoole L. (Injury) Perry T. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B. (Inactive) Marquis J. (Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Shrewsbury Town?

Bristol Rovers has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shrewsbury Town won against Bristol Rovers?

Shrewsbury Town has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:

01.01.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers 0:3

04.03.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers 0:0

22.10.2024 Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town 1:0

01.04.2024 Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town 0:0

16.09.2023 Shrewsbury Town - Bristol Rovers 0:2

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

14.03.2026 Bromley - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

10.03.2026 Barrow - Bristol Rovers 0:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Bristol Rovers - Crewe Alexandra 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Shrewsbury Town

14.03.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Cheltenham Town 0:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Chesterfield - Shrewsbury Town 2:3 ✺

28.02.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Walsall 1:2 ✺

24.02.2026 Salford City - Shrewsbury Town 1:2 ✺

21.02.2026 Accrington Stanley - Shrewsbury Town 0:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League