Bristol Rovers vs Tranmere Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4

18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League Two - Round 13
Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	2.06
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
12	20
Shots on target
2	9
Big Chances
0	5
Corner Kicks
6	5
Passes
76% (345/456)	69% (196/286)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	2.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.25	2.44
Total shots
12	20
Shots on target
2	9
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
5	7
Shots inside the Box
9	13
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
0	5
Corner Kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
17	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
14	13
Passes
76% (345/456)	69% (196/286)
Long passes
30% (24/81)	40% (28/70)
Passes in final third
60% (87/146)	60% (73/122)
Crosses
29% (5/17)	33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	1.70
Throw-ins
16	19
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
90% (9/10)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
50	48
Clearances
26	31
Interceptions
8	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
2.44	0.25
Goals prevented
-1.56	-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Harrison E. 🟨,
25', Harrison E. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
33', 0 - 1, Smith N. ⚽, Patrick O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Ironside J. ↓, Davison J. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Jennings C. ⚽, McGowan A. (A),
55', Davison J. 🟨,
59', Sparkes J. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
59', Conteh K. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
68', Finley S. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
71', Patrick O. 🟨,
73', 0 - 3, Jennings C. ⚽,
76', Blacker B. ↓, Smallwood R. ↑,
76', Norman C. ↓, Joseph J. ↑,
79', 0 - 4, Davison J. ⚽, Jennings C. (A),
85', Jennings C. ↓, Solomon S. ↑,
85', 1 - 4, Chang A. ⚽,
90+1', Kilgour A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
38.3%

Draw
29.1%

Tranmere Rovers
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.4%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.5%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol Rovers's form might have worsened.

Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tranmere Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tranmere Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bristol Rovers - Tranmere Rovers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (1.9)	3.47 ↓ (3.51)	3.03 ↓ (3.76)	-2% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Tranmere Rovers?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bristol Rovers will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 19).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Bristol Rovers is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Tranmere: Dennis K. (Calf Injury) McGee L. (Hip Injury) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Cotterill J. (Inactive) Omochere P. (Injury) Senior J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Tranmere: Bristow E. (Injury) Davison J. (Injury) Lowe J. (Injury) O'Connor L. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

11.10.2025 Bristol Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 0:4 ✺

07.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Bristol Rovers 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Walsall - Bristol Rovers 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Bristol Rovers - Salford City 2:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Colchester United - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Tranmere Rovers

11.10.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Barnet 0:2 ✺

07.10.2025 Barrow - Tranmere Rovers 1:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Bromley - Tranmere Rovers 3:3 ✺

27.09.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Cambridge United 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Walsall - Tranmere Rovers 4:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	33	18	11	4	56:34	22	65
2	Cambridge Utd	33	18	9	6	48:26	22	63
3	MK Dons	33	17	10	6	62:33	29	61
4	Notts Co	33	18	7	8	52:32	20	61
5	Swindon	34	19	4	11	56:40	16	61
6	Crewe	34	15	8	11	50:40	10	53
7	Chesterfield	33	13	14	6	52:43	9	53
8	Salford	32	16	4	12	45:43	2	52
9	Barnet	34	13	11	10	43:37	6	50
10	Walsall	32	14	8	10	40:35	5	50
11	Colchester	32	13	10	9	48:34	14	49
12	Grimsby	32	13	10	9	45:37	8	49
13	Accrington	33	13	7	13	36:34	2	46
14	Fleetwood	32	12	8	12	43:42	1	44
15	Oldham	31	10	12	9	34:30	4	42
16	Gillingham	32	10	11	11	40:41	-1	41
17	Shrewsbury	34	10	8	16	33:52	-19	38
18	Tranmere	33	9	8	16	45:57	-12	35
19	Cheltenham	32	10	5	17	33:54	-21	35
20	Bristol Rovers	33	9	3	21	32:56	-24	30
21	Crawley	34	6	10	18	33:54	-21	28
22	Barrow	32	7	6	19	33:50	-17	27
23	Harrogate	34	6	8	20	24:51	-27	26
24	Newport	33	6	6	21	32:60	-28	24

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

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