Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 43
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (428/506) | 62% (150/241) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 2.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (428/506) | 62% (150/241) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (21/54) | 34% (21/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (129/174) | 53% (51/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (9/29) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.00 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Patrick O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 17', McFadzean K. 🟨,
- 19', Finley S. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Naylor T. ⚽, Berry-McNally J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Owolabi-Belewu M. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
- 46', McFadzean K. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Finley S. ⚽, Brough P. (A),
- 57', Tamen W. 🟨,
- 66', Marosi M. 🟨,
- 69', Kenneh N. ↓, Watson R. ↑,
- 69', Patrick O. ↓, Whitaker C. ↑,
- 75', Markanday D. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
- 75', Berry-McNally J. ↓, Fleck J. ↑,
- 77', Gordon L. 🟨,
- 82', Obiero Z. ↓, Dennis K. ↑,
- 83', Brough P. ↓, Bristow E. ↑,
- 85', Bonis L. ↓, Duffy D. ↑,
- 90+2', Woolery K. ↓, Plant J. ↑,
- 90+5', Dennis K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chesterfield
63.1% | Draw
22.8% | Tranmere Rovers
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesterfield's performance.Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tranmere Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.6) |
4.08 ↑
(3.95) |
6.57 ↑
(4.72) |
6.8%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 45% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2.
- Chesterfield is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tranmere has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Chesterfield is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Gordon L.
(Injury)
Grigg W.
(Injury)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Knee Injury)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
Murphy J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Ladapo F.
(Inactive)
Pearce T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Chesterfield will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Tranmere Rovers?
Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Chesterfield?
Tranmere Rovers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
25.10.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Chesterfield
1:1
05.04.2025
Tranmere Rovers
-
Chesterfield
4:0
07.12.2024
Chesterfield
-
Tranmere Rovers
3:0
Latest results of Chesterfield
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | MK Dons ✔ | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 85:44 | 41 | 85 |
| 2 | Bromley ✔ | 45 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 68:45 | 23 | 84 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 45 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 81 |
| 4 | Salford | 45 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 80 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 45 | 24 | 7 | 14 | 73:51 | 22 | 79 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 45 | 22 | 11 | 12 | 73:49 | 24 | 77 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 45 | 20 | 16 | 9 | 69:55 | 14 | 76 |
| 8 | Swindon | 45 | 22 | 9 | 14 | 69:57 | 12 | 75 |
| 9 | Barnet | 45 | 20 | 13 | 12 | 68:52 | 16 | 73 |
| 10 | Crewe | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 45 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 57:44 | 13 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 55:53 | 2 | 65 |
| 13 | Colchester | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 58:48 | 10 | 63 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 19 | 4 | 22 | 55:64 | -9 | 61 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 56:57 | -1 | 60 |
| 16 | Accrington | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 53 |
| 17 | Cheltenham | 45 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 52:75 | -23 | 52 |
| 18 | Gillingham | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 52:72 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 42:68 | -26 | 49 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 53:78 | -25 | 40 |
| 21 | Newport | 45 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 46:76 | -30 | 40 |
| 22 | Crawley | 45 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 39 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 38:66 | -28 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 45 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 44:76 | -32 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
Bromley is Qualified for League One
