Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:5
05/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Premium
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2826
Shots off target
1323
Shooting PCT
3.57% (1/28)19.23% (5/26)
Blocked shots
1111
Goalkeeper Saves
2127
Saves PCT
84% (21/25)96.43% (27/28)
Penalties
76
PIM
2512
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
12
Power-play PCT
0% (0/6)14.29% (1/7)
Pen. Killing PCT
85.71% (6/7)100% (6/6)
Hits
1820
Faceoffs Won
1928
Faceoffs %
40.4359.57
Giveaways
1613
Takeaways
23
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:22, Krebs P. (2 min),
  • 08:16, Karlsson E. (2 min),
  • 10:24, (2 min),
  • 12:00, 0 - 1, McLeod R. (G),
  • 14:04, Acciari N. (2 min),
  • 14:48, 1 - 1, Rust B. (G), Kindel B. (A),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 3)
  • 00:38, Malkin E. (2 min),
  • 00:38, Malkin E. (5 min),
  • 00:38, Dahlin R. (2 min),
  • 04:10, 1 - 2, Norris J. (G), Doan J. (A), Byram B. (A2)
  • 04:10, (2 min),
  • 05:25, McLeod R. (2 min),
  • 06:18, 1 - 3, Tuch A. (G), Power O. (A), Thompson T. (A2)
  • 10:30, 1 - 4, Power O. (G), Norris J. (A), Ostlund N. (A2)
  • 14:44, Malenstyn B. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 07:04, Kindel B. (2 min),
  • 11:54, Dahlin R. (2 min),
  • 16:53, 1 - 5, Samuelsson M. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Penguins
37.9%
Draw
22.6%
Buffalo Sabres
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 22.2% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 21.4% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pittsburgh Penguins's form might have worsened.
  • Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buffalo Sabres's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pittsburgh Penguins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buffalo Sabres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.21)
    4.18
    (4.37)
    2.4
    (2.85)
    5.9%
    (3.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Buffalo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 2.5%64.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Buffalo (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5, OT - Buffalo (3.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 25%). Buffalo (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 4.
    • In recent matches, Pittsburgh has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Buffalo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Buffalo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Pittsburgh: Crosby S. (Knee Injury) Jones C. (Doping) Lizotte B. (Lower-Body Injury) St.Ivany J. (Hand Injury)
    • There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Greenway J. (Abdominal strain) Kulich J. (Health problems) Timmins C. (Broken Leg)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 76:64. (average 3.8:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 3.9:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres were as follows:
    05.02.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins 2:5
    26.11.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres 4:2
    03.10.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres 5:4
    01.10.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:5
    27.03.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins 7:3
    Latest results of Buffalo Sabres
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 704161013263:177104
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 7133101117244:19697
    3Minnesota Wild7225151220236:20892
    4Anaheim Ducks712416427240:24584
    5Utah Mammoth72289629225:20380
    6Edmonton Oilers72278928250:24679
    7Vegas Golden Knights722481426225:22578
    8Nashville Predators71259928215:23577
    9Los Angeles Kings7118101825189:21674
    10Seattle Kraken702561029200:21872
    11Winnipeg Jets712461229203:22072
    12San Jose Sharks692012631211:24970
    13St. Louis Blues702631130184:22569
    14Calgary Flames71237734180:21967
    15Chicago Blackhawks712071331187:22867
    16Vancouver Canucks70147841182:26250


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes713213620252:21196
    2Buffalo Sabres72377820254:21196
    3Tampa Bay Lightning70359521257:19593
    4Montreal Canadiens7027121021249:23088
    5Boston Bruins722911824240:22488
    6Columbus Blue Jackets7127111122231:21787
    7Pittsburgh Penguins712961620243:22586
    8Ottawa Senators71326924239:21685
    9New York Islanders722614527209:20685
    10Detroit Red Wings712711825207:21184
    11Philadelphia Flyers7021131224204:21480
    12Washington Capitals72305928220:21179
    13Toronto Maple Leafs732381329229:25575
    14New Jersey Devils702412232193:21374
    15Florida Panthers70278332211:23373
    16New York Rangers72199935202:23065

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )