Pittsburgh Penguins vs Buffalo Sabres – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Premium
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Penguins
37.6%
Draw
22.6%
Buffalo Sabres
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 22.2% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 21.4% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pittsburgh Penguins's form might have worsened.
  • Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buffalo Sabres's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pittsburgh Penguins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buffalo Sabres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.21)
    4.19
    (4.37)
    2.38
    (2.85)
    5.8%
    (3.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Buffalo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 2.5%64.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Buffalo (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5, OT - Buffalo (3.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 25%). Buffalo (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 4.
    • In recent matches, Pittsburgh has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Buffalo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Buffalo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Pittsburgh: Crosby S. (Knee Injury) Jones C. (Doping) Lizotte B. (Lower-Body Injury) St.Ivany J. (Hand Injury)
    • There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Greenway J. (Abdominal strain) Kulich J. (Health problems) Timmins C. (Broken Leg)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 76:64. (average 3.8:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 3.9:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres were as follows:
    05.02.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins 2:5
    26.11.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres 4:2
    03.10.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres 5:4
    01.10.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:5
    27.03.2025 Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins 7:3
    Latest results of Buffalo Sabres
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    Eastern Conference
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    2Tampa Bay Lightning59299417210:15880
    3Buffalo Sabres61306619209:18378
    4Detroit Red Wings622411720185:18777
    5Montreal Canadiens602211918213:20075
    6Pittsburgh Penguins602741316204:17575
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    14New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
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    16New York Rangers60149829160:19054

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