Result
1:0
11/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Peace Cup - Quarter-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Bugesera
44.9% | Draw
32.7% | Etincelles
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Etincelles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Bugesera - Etincelles Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.05) |
2.79 ↑
(2.77) |
4.06 ↑
(3.9) |
9.7%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 2.
- In recent matches, Bugesera has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Etincelles is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Etincelles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Bugesera could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Bugesera won against Etincelles?
Bugesera has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Etincelles won against Bugesera?
Etincelles has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bugesera - Etincelles were as follows:
11.01.2026
Etincelles
-
Bugesera
1:2
24.05.2025
Etincelles
-
Bugesera
0:1
21.09.2024
Bugesera
-
Etincelles
1:1
31.03.2024
Bugesera
-
Etincelles
2:2
05.11.2023
Etincelles
-
Bugesera
3:2
Latest results of Bugesera
Latest results of Etincelles
Draw
2025/26Quarter-finals| 1 | Gorilla | AS Kigali | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Bugesera | Etincelles | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Gasogi United | APR | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Police | Rayon Sport | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
