Result
1:2
11/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
Chances of winning
Etincelles
37.5% | Draw
33% | Bugesera
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Etincelles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-1%)
Etincelles - Bugesera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.28) |
2.73 ↓
(2.87) |
3.05 ↓
(3.14) |
11.1%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 2.
- Etincelles is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Bugesera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Etincelles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Etincelles is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Etincelles won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Etincelles won against Bugesera?
Etincelles has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bugesera won against Etincelles?
Bugesera has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Etincelles - Bugesera were as follows:
24.05.2025
Etincelles
-
Bugesera
0:1
21.09.2024
Bugesera
-
Etincelles
1:1
31.03.2024
Bugesera
-
Etincelles
2:2
05.11.2023
Etincelles
-
Bugesera
3:2
21.05.2023
Etincelles
-
Bugesera
3:2
Latest results of Etincelles
Latest results of Bugesera
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 50:16 | 34 | 45 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
