Bugesera vs Marines – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Rwanda Premier League Bugesera - Marines
Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 31', 0 - 1, ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 77', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Bugesera
45.6%
Draw
28.9%
Marines
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 27.6% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 28.7% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bugesera's performance.
  • Marines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marines might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marines than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marines could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bugesera - Marines Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.25)
    3.13
    (3.25)
    3.56
    (2.75)
    10.5%
    (11.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bugesera won 2.
    • Bugesera has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Marines is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Marines have a series of home games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Bugesera won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.3:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bugesera won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:5 (average 0.9:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bugesera - Marines were as follows:
    30.12.2024 Marines - Bugesera 1:4
    05.04.2024 Marines - Bugesera 0:0
    25.11.2023 Bugesera - Marines 0:1
    06.05.2023 Marines - Bugesera 1:0
    15.11.2022 Bugesera - Marines 2:1
    Latest results of Bugesera
    20.04.2025 Rutsiro - Bugesera 4:2
    05.04.2025 Bugesera - APR 0:1
    29.03.2025 Bugesera - Muhazi United 0:1
    15.03.2025 Bugesera - Police 0:1
    08.03.2025 Musanze - Bugesera 0:0
    Latest results of Marines
    19.04.2025 Marines - Gorilla 2:1
    05.04.2025 Marines - Rayon Sports 2:2
    30.03.2025 Etincelles - Marines 0:0
    15.03.2025 Marines - Amagaju 1:2
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1APR30207346:172967
    2Rayon Sport30189343:172663
    3AS Kigali30147932:27549
    4Police301112738:241445
    5Mukura Victory Sports301011923:27-441
    6Bugesera3010101037:30740
    7Gorilla301171227:25240
    8Gasogi United3010101029:29040
    9Rutsiro309111030:35-538
    10Kiyovu301141532:51-1937
    11Amagaju301061429:38-936
    12Etincelles307131025:27-234
    13Musanze307131026:31-534
    14Marines30971437:46-934
    15Muhazi United30791422:29-730
    16Vision30561923:46-2321

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