Result
1:0
03/05/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Muhanga
35.2% | Draw
31.2% | Bugesera
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Muhanga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muhanga than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Muhanga - Bugesera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.55) |
2.88 ↓
(2.9) |
2.68 ↑
(2.66) |
11.1%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muhanga won 2.
- Muhanga is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bugesera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bugesera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Bugesera will win today's game, with odds of 2.67.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Muhanga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Muhanga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Muhanga won against Bugesera?
Muhanga has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bugesera won against Muhanga?
Bugesera has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muhanga - Bugesera were as follows:
25.10.2025
Bugesera
-
Muhanga
0:1
Latest results of Muhanga
Latest results of Bugesera
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 28 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 63:20 | 43 | 64 |
| 2 | APR | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 41:22 | 19 | 56 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 34:26 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Police | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 27:18 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 | Kiyovu | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 30:19 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 41 |
| 8 | Bugesera | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Marines | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 38 |
| 10 | Musanze | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 33 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:44 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Gasogi United | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 21:35 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | AS Kigali | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 20:31 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | Amagaju | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 16:34 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 20:31 | -11 | 27 |
| 17 | Rutsiro | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:40 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
