Result
2:0
01/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, Juancho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Pena W. 🟥,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, Juancho ⚽,
Chances of winning
Numancia
63.2% | Draw
23.1% | Burgos Promesas
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-18.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+4%)
Numancia - Burgos Promesas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.41) |
3.98 ↑
(3.9) |
6.72 ↓
(7.33) |
8.7%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Numancia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Burgos Promesas has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Burgos Promesas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Numancia is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Numancia won against Burgos Promesas?
Numancia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos Promesas won against Numancia?
Burgos Promesas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Numancia - Burgos Promesas were as follows:
22.11.2025
Burgos Promesas
-
Numancia
0:1
Latest results of Numancia
Latest results of Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Oviedo B | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 43:21 | 22 | 52 |
| 2 | Dep. Fabril | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 41:16 | 25 | 50 |
| 3 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 28:22 | 6 | 43 |
| 4 | Coruxo FC | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
| 5 | Salamanca | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:27 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Numancia | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 39 |
| 7 | UD Ourense | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Real Avila | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Bergantinos | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 29:27 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Marino de Luanco | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 20:14 | 6 | 33 |
| 11 | Atl. Astorga | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 28:30 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Rayo Cantabria | 25 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 39:33 | 6 | 29 |
| 13 | Valladolid Promesas | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 28 |
| 14 | Sarriana | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 30:33 | -3 | 28 |
| 15 | Langreo | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | Lealtad | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19:33 | -14 | 21 |
| 17 | Burgos CF B | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 27:44 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 25 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 17:54 | -37 | 12 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
