Burgos vs Castellón – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Plantío (Burgos).

LaLiga2 - Round 13
Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 3, New World Sport App
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6, Dsports 9
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 2
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	0.73
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
64% (192/301)	82% (385/470)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	0.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.38	0.67
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
2	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
11	21
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
11	14
Passes
64% (192/301)	82% (385/470)
Long passes
28% (21/76)	53% (23/43)
Passes in final third
40% (29/73)	68% (103/151)
Crosses
50% (5/10)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.78	0.91
Throw-ins
32	20
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
64% (14/22)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
54	52
Clearances
32	14
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.67	0.38
Goals prevented
0.67	0.38

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Suero I. 🟨,
16', Jimenez A. 🟨,
27', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 🟨,
30', Cordoba I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Cordoba I. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
59', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Appin K. ↑,
65', Ruiz S. ↓, Santiago P. ↑,
65', Suero I. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
75', Curro ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
75', Martinez B. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
79', Gerenabarrena B. ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
84', Calatrava A. ↓, Aurelio D. ↑,
84', Camara O. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
86', Nino F. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yc6d6vh4

Chances of winning

Burgos
36.2%

Draw
31.1%

Castellón
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

29.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Burgos - Castellón Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.53)	3.1 ↓ (3.26)	2.91 ↑ (2.81)	4.8% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Burgos - Castellón?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DC - Castellón (1.45) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Burgos (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Burgos (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Burgos will win (43 of 50 users predict this - 86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.38% – 95.62%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Burgos will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Burgos (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Castellón (votes: 3 - 10.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
Burgos is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Castellón has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury) Miguel F. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Castellón: Camara O. (Inactive) Cipenga B. (Inactive) Doue M. (Red Card) Serpeta (Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Including home match between the teams, Burgos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Castellón?

Burgos has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Burgos?

Castellón has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Castellón were as follows:

01.03.2025 Castellón - Burgos 2:1

01.09.2024 Burgos - Castellón 0:2

Latest results of Burgos

01.11.2025 Leganés - Burgos 1:2 ✺

28.10.2025 Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos 1:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Burgos - Real Sociedad B 1:0 ✺

20.10.2025 Cádiz - Burgos 1:3 ✺

12.10.2025 Burgos - Valladolid 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Castellón

02.11.2025 Castellón - Málaga 2:1 ✺

30.10.2025 Antoniano - Castellón 1:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Almería - Castellón 1:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Castellón - Albacete Balompié 0:1 ✺

12.10.2025 Eibar - Castellón 0:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	28	16	5	7	56:36	20	53
2	Castellon	28	14	7	7	46:29	17	49
3	Almeria	28	14	7	7	53:40	13	49
4	Dep. La Coruna	28	14	7	7	44:31	13	49
5	Malaga	28	14	5	9	41:31	10	47
6	Las Palmas	28	11	12	5	34:22	12	45
7	Ceuta	28	13	5	10	36:39	-3	44
8	Burgos CF	28	12	7	9	30:26	4	43
9	Gijon	28	12	6	10	38:36	2	42
10	Cordoba	28	11	8	9	38:37	1	41
11	Eibar	28	10	8	10	31:30	1	38
12	Andorra	28	9	8	11	35:40	-5	35
13	Albacete	28	9	8	11	33:39	-6	35
14	Cadiz CF	28	9	8	11	29:35	-6	35
15	Leganes	28	8	10	10	29:28	1	34
16	Real Sociedad B	28	9	7	12	38:39	-1	34
17	Granada CF	28	7	11	10	32:33	-1	32
18	Valladolid	28	8	8	12	29:38	-9	32
19	Huesca	28	8	6	14	26:37	-11	30
20	Cultural Leonesa	28	7	6	15	27:44	-17	27
21	Mirandes	28	6	6	16	28:45	-17	24
22	Zaragoza	28	5	9	14	23:41	-18	24

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation