Result
18/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Castellón 54.2% | Draw 26.2% | Burgos 19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Castellón - Burgos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.74 ↓ (1.75) |
3.6 ↓ (3.64) |
4.74 ↑ (4.65) |
6.4% (6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Castellón has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Burgos is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Castellón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Castellón is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Burgos?
Castellón has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Castellón?
Burgos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Burgos were as follows:
10.11.2025
Burgos
-
Castellón
0:0
01.03.2025
Castellón
-
Burgos
2:1
01.09.2024
Burgos
-
Castellón
0:2
Latest results of Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 35 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 72:54 | 18 | 65 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 53:38 | 15 | 61 |
| 3 | Almeria | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 67:52 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Malaga | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 58:41 | 17 | 60 |
| 5 | Burgos CF | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 42:29 | 13 | 60 |
| 6 | Castellon | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 58:43 | 15 | 58 |
| 7 | Las Palmas | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 45:30 | 15 | 57 |
| 8 | Eibar | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 55 |
| 9 | Andorra | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 51:47 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Gijon | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 45:44 | 1 | 49 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 42:55 | -13 | 49 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:52 | -5 | 48 |
| 13 | Granada CF | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 45 |
| 14 | Albacete | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 44:47 | -3 | 44 |
| 15 | Leganes | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 40:38 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 45:50 | -5 | 41 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:47 | -8 | 40 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 38 |
| 19 | Zaragoza | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Huesca | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 35:53 | -18 | 33 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 37:56 | -19 | 33 |
| 22 | Cultural Leonesa | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 31:56 | -25 | 32 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation