Burgos vs Mirandés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Plantío (Burgos).

LaLiga2 - Round 29
Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.74	0.93
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
4	6
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
1	6
Passes
81% (311/385)	80% (319/399)
Yellow cards
2	5
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.74	0.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.15	0.51
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked shots
1	2
Shots inside the box
6	6
Shots outside the box
8	6
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
1	6
Touches in opposition box
12	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
18	9
Passes
81% (311/385)	80% (319/399)
Long passes
48% (28/58)	59% (37/63)
Passes in final third
64% (65/102)	65% (91/139)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	30% (8/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.55	0.80
Throw ins
20	21
Fouls
9	18
Tackles
58% (11/19)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
55	45
Clearances
29	14
Interceptions
13	11
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
6	2
xGOT faced
0.51	1.15
Goals prevented
0.51	-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Fernandez C. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ⚽,
39', Medrano F. 🟨,
45+3', Perez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Maras N. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
63', Houary A. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Curro ⚽, Appin K. (A),
71', Fernandez C. ↓, Sia D. ↑,
72', Appin K. 🟨,
72', Cordoba I. ↓, Nino F. ↑,
73', Appin K. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
83', Curro ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
88', El Jebari S. 🟨,
88', Sierra G. 🟨,
90+1', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
90+1', Atienza M. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
90+5', Medrano F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Burgos
48.6%

Draw
30%

Mirandés
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.4%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

27%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Burgos - Mirandés Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.79)	3.11 ↓ (3.43)	4.41 ↓ (4.65)	6.6% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Burgos - Mirandés?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Mirandés will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Burgos (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Burgos will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Burgos (votes: 5 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Burgos is the team to beat.
There will not play in Burgos: Cuenca Martinez H. F. (Injury)
There will not play in Mirandés: Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Malsa M. (Injury) Perez P. (Knee Injury) Postigo S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Burgos: Nino F. (Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Mirandés?

Burgos has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mirandés won against Burgos?

Mirandés has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burgos - Mirandés were as follows:

16.11.2025 Mirandés - Burgos 0:2

26.04.2025 Mirandés - Burgos 2:1

13.10.2024 Burgos - Mirandés 0:1

21.04.2024 Mirandés - Burgos 2:1

09.12.2023 Burgos - Mirandés 0:0

Latest results of Burgos

28.02.2026 Zaragoza - Burgos 0:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Racing Santander - Burgos 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Burgos - Cádiz 1:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Las Palmas - Burgos 0:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Burgos - Leganés 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Mirandés

01.03.2026 Mirandés - Ceuta 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Huesca - Mirandés 1:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Mirandés - Las Palmas 1:1 ✺

09.02.2026 Racing Santander - Mirandés 1:0 ✺

02.02.2026 Mirandés - Málaga 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Racing Santander	31	18	5	8	62:44	18	59
2	Dep. La Coruna	31	16	7	8	48:35	13	55
3	Almeria	31	16	7	8	59:43	16	55
4	Malaga	31	16	6	9	52:37	15	54
5	Las Palmas	31	13	12	6	40:24	16	51
6	Castellon	31	14	8	9	50:38	12	50
7	Burgos CF	31	14	8	9	36:26	10	50
8	Eibar	31	12	9	10	33:30	3	45
9	Gijon	31	13	6	12	42:39	3	45
10	Ceuta	31	13	5	13	39:50	-11	44
11	Albacete	31	11	9	11	39:40	-1	42
12	Cordoba	31	11	8	12	41:47	-6	41
13	Real Sociedad B	31	11	7	13	44:43	1	40
14	Granada CF	31	9	12	10	37:34	3	39
15	Andorra	31	10	9	12	37:42	-5	39
16	Cadiz CF	31	10	8	13	31:39	-8	38
17	Leganes	31	9	10	12	36:34	2	37
18	Valladolid	31	9	9	13	36:45	-9	36
19	Huesca	31	8	7	16	30:45	-15	31
20	Zaragoza	31	7	9	15	27:43	-16	30
21	Cultural Leonesa	31	7	7	17	29:50	-21	28
22	Mirandes	31	7	6	18	30:50	-20	27

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      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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