Burgos vs Real Sociedad B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 11
  • Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDSports 6
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDSports 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.19
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
80% (319/398)79% (330/420)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.820.10
Total shots
145
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
275
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
80% (319/398)79% (330/420)
Long passes
60% (40/67)56% (44/78)
Passes in final third
68% (71/104)62% (52/84)
Crosses
27% (7/26)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.26
Throw-ins
2426
Fouls
1313
Tackles
50% (10/20)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5552
Clearances
1529
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.100.82
Goals prevented
0.10-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Mariezkurrena A. 🟨,
  • 32', Miguel F. 🟨,
  • 42', Morante I. 🟨,
  • 42', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Cordoba A. 🟨,
  • 60', Miguel F. , Martinez B. ,
  • 60', Cordoba I. , Appin K. ,
  • 65', Garro J. 🟨,
  • 71', Rodriguez M. , Gorosabel G. ,
  • 71', Mariezkurrena A. , Eceizabarrena J. ,
  • 71', Morante I. , Mejia M. ,
  • 72', Curro , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 73', Sierra G. 🟨,
  • 78', Garro J. , Dadie Izagirre A. ,
  • 84', 1 - 0, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Pen),
  • 85', Kita K. , Osazuwa S. ,
  • 85', Astiazaran L. , Diaz D. ,
  • 86', Nino F. , Gonzalez M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdhk3kfj

Chances of winning


Burgos
55%
Draw
27%
Real Sociedad B
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 25.8% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 25.5% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Burgos - Real Sociedad B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.7)
    3.53
    (3.6)
    5.15
    (4.78)
    6.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Burgos - Real Sociedad B?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 28.1%78.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Burgos (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Burgos (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Burgos (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burgos will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 1.
    • Recent performances by Burgos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Sociedad B is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Burgos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Burgos is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury) Exposito M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.4:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).
    Latest results of Burgos
    20.10.2025 Cádiz - Burgos 1:3
    12.10.2025 Burgos - Valladolid 0:1
    04.10.2025 Huesca - Burgos 2:1
    28.09.2025 Burgos - Málaga 2:1
    22.09.2025 Burgos - Granada 1:1
    Latest results of Real Sociedad B
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander352051072:541865
    2Dep. La Coruna351710853:381561
    3Almeria351871067:521561
    4Malaga35179958:411760
    5Burgos CF35179942:291360
    6Castellon351610958:431558
    7Las Palmas351512845:301557
    8Eibar341591040:31954
    9Andorra3513101251:47449
    10Gijon351471445:44149
    11Ceuta351471442:55-1349
    12Cordoba351391347:52-548
    13Granada CF3511121244:41345
    14Albacete3511111344:47-344
    15Leganes3510121340:38242
    16Real Sociedad B351181645:50-541
    17Valladolid341091539:47-839
    18Cadiz CF351081733:48-1538
    19Zaragoza358101731:47-1634
    20Huesca35891835:53-1833
    21Mirandes35891837:56-1933
    22Cultural Leonesa35881931:56-2532

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation