Burgos vs Real Sociedad B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 11
  • Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDSports 6
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDSports 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.19
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
80% (319/398)79% (330/420)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.050.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.820.10
Total shots
145
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
275
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
80% (319/398)79% (330/420)
Long passes
60% (40/67)56% (44/78)
Passes in final third
68% (71/104)62% (52/84)
Crosses
27% (7/26)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.26
Throw-ins
2426
Fouls
1313
Tackles
50% (10/20)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5552
Clearances
1529
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.100.82
Goals prevented
0.10-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Mariezkurrena A. 🟨,
  • 32', Miguel F. 🟨,
  • 42', Morante I. 🟨,
  • 42', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Cordoba A. 🟨,
  • 60', Miguel F. , Martinez B. ,
  • 60', Cordoba I. , Appin K. ,
  • 65', Garro J. 🟨,
  • 71', Rodriguez M. , Gorosabel G. ,
  • 71', Mariezkurrena A. , Eceizabarrena J. ,
  • 71', Morante I. , Mejia M. ,
  • 72', Curro , Gonzalez S. ,
  • 73', Sierra G. 🟨,
  • 78', Garro J. , Dadie Izagirre A. ,
  • 84', 1 - 0, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Pen),
  • 85', Kita K. , Osazuwa S. ,
  • 85', Astiazaran L. , Diaz D. ,
  • 86', Nino F. , Gonzalez M. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdhk3kfj

Chances of winning


Burgos
55%
Draw
27%
Real Sociedad B
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 25.8% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 25.5% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Burgos - Real Sociedad B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.7)
    3.53
    (3.6)
    5.15
    (4.78)
    6.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Burgos - Real Sociedad B?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 28.1%78.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Burgos (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Burgos (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Burgos (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Burgos will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Burgos (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 1.
    • Recent performances by Burgos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real Sociedad B is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Burgos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Burgos is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury) Exposito M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.4:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).
    Latest results of Burgos
    20.10.2025 Cádiz - Burgos 1:3
    12.10.2025 Burgos - Valladolid 0:1
    04.10.2025 Huesca - Burgos 2:1
    28.09.2025 Burgos - Málaga 2:1
    22.09.2025 Burgos - Granada 1:1
    Latest results of Real Sociedad B
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander31185862:441859
    2Dep. La Coruna31167848:351355
    3Almeria31167859:431655
    4Malaga31166952:371554
    5Las Palmas311312640:241651
    6Castellon31148950:381250
    7Burgos CF31148936:261050
    8Eibar311291033:30345
    9Gijon311361242:39345
    10Ceuta311351339:50-1144
    11Albacete311191139:40-142
    12Cordoba311181241:47-641
    13Real Sociedad B311171344:43140
    14Granada CF319121037:34339
    15Andorra311091237:42-539
    16Cadiz CF311081331:39-838
    17Leganes319101236:34237
    18Valladolid31991336:45-936
    19Huesca31871630:45-1531
    20Zaragoza31791527:43-1630
    21Cultural Leonesa31771729:50-2128
    22Mirandes31761830:50-2027

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation