Burnley vs Derby County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup
Football English League Cup Burnley - Derby County
Result
2:1
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.86
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
86% (441/511)84% (348/414)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.440.50
Total shots
138
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2817
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
106
Passes
86% (441/511)84% (348/414)
Long passes
56% (28/50)41% (21/51)
Passes in final third
79% (124/157)64% (47/73)
Crosses
9% (2/22)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.570.60
Throw-ins
1813
Fouls
611
Tackles
87% (13/15)50% (6/12)
Duels won
5242
Clearances
2631
Interceptions
817
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.501.44
Goals prevented
-0.50-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Ramsey A. ⚽, Broja A. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Clark B. ⚽, Elder C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Elder C. ↓, Clarke M. ↑,
  • 46', Humphreys B. ↓, Tuanzebe A. ↑,
  • 56', Adams E. 🟨,
  • 62', Osborn B. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
  • 62', Brewster R. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
  • 62', Clark B. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
  • 62', Tchaouna L. ↓, Banel J. ↑,
  • 63', Broja A. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
  • 70', Ward J. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
  • 78', Flemming Z. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Sonne O. ⚽, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (A),
  • 90+4', Ramsey A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Burnley
67.3%		Draw
21%		Derby County
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 22.9% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 25.3% 15.1%

Burnley - Derby County Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.42 ↓
(1.56)		 4.56 ↑
(4.11)		 8.25 ↑
(5.63)		 4.5%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burnley - Derby County?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Derby will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 59% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Burnley (votes: 2 - 50%). Derby (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 2.
    • Burnley is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Derby has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Burnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Burnley is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Humphreys B. (Thigh Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P. (Hernia) Beck O. (Lacking Match Fitness) Blackett-Taylor C. (Hamstring Injury) Ebuka C. (Injury) Langas S. (Knee Injury) Nelson C. (Knee Injury) Salvesen L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burnley: Broja A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Esteve M. (Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Muscle Injury) Ugochukwu L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Wilson K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 1.4:0.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Derby County were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Derby County - Burnley 0:0
    10.12.2024 Burnley - Derby County 0:0
    Latest results of Burnley
    23.08.2025 Burnley - Sunderland 2:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Burnley 3:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Burnley - Lazio 0:1
    02.08.2025 Stoke City - Burnley 1:0
    26.07.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Burnley 2:2
    Latest results of Derby County
    22.08.2025 Derby County - Bristol City 1:1 ✺
    16.08.2025 Derby County - Coventry City 3:5 ✺
    12.08.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Derby County 1:2 ✺
    09.08.2025 Stoke City - Derby County 3:1 ✺
    02.08.2025 Derby County - Atromitos Athens 2:0 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9LiverpoolBye
    11WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    12NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    13Crystal PalaceBye
    15NewportMillwall0 : 1
    16CoventryLuton1 : 0
    17BarrowPreston0 : 1
    18WrexhamHull4 : 3
    19PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    20GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    21BurnleyBye
    22West BromDerby1 : 2
    23CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    24CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    25WolvesBye
    26ByeWest Ham
    27EvertonBye
    28ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    29TranmereBurton1 : 2
    30HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    32ByeChelsea
    33SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    34PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    36ByeNottingham
    37SunderlandBye
    38HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    40ByeManchester City
    41BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    42ByeLeeds
    43GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    44ByeManchester Utd
    45BournemouthBye
    46ByeBrentford
    48ByeAston Villa
    49NewcastleBye
    51StokeWalsall1 : 0
    52BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    53TottenhamBye
    55AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    56MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5LiverpoolBye
    6NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    7Crystal PalaceBye
    8MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    9PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    10ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    11BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    12CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    13WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    14EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    15BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    16ByeChelsea
    17SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    18ByeNottingham
    19SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    20ByeManchester City
    21Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    22GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    23BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    24ByeAston Villa
    25NewcastleBye
    26StokeBradford City0 : 3
    27TottenhamBye
    28AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    4Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    5WrexhamReading2 : 0
    6BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    7WolvesEverton2 : 0
    8LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    9SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    10HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    11Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    12BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    13NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    14TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton2 : 0
    2LiverpoolCrystal Palace0 : 3
    3WrexhamCardiff1 : 2
    4WolvesChelsea3 : 4
    5SwanseaManchester City1 : 3
    6GrimsbyBrentford0 : 5
    7NewcastleTottenham2 : 0
    8WycombeFulham1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ArsenalCrystal Palace
    2CardiffChelsea
    3Manchester CityBrentford
    4NewcastleFulham
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