Result
0:0
08/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 41
- Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (132/220) | 84% (460/546) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (132/220) | 84% (460/546) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (31/73) | 19% (9/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (40/92) | 70% (103/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.66 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 41 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Langas S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 68', Laurent J. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
- 69', Harness M. ↓, Mendez-Laing N. ↑,
- 74', Foster L. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
- 78', Langas S. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
- 84', Edwards M. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
- 87', Thompson L. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
- 90+3', Adams E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Derby County
20% | Draw
30.4% | Burnley
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Derby County - Burnley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.74 ↑
(4.28) |
3.13 ↓
(3.24) |
1.91 ↓
(1.94) |
5.4%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Derby County - Burnley?
Users Predictions:
Burnley will win
(48 of 54 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.51% – 97.27%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Burnley will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 0.
- Derby is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Burnley is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Burnley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Burnley is a favorite.
- There will not play in Derby: Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Osborn B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ozoh D.
(Thigh Injury)
Roofe K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Salvesen L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E.
(Muscle Injury)
Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Humphreys B.
(Hip Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Knee Injury)
Shelvey J.
(Leg Injury)
Tresor Ndayishimiye M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Derby: Brown D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jackson K.
(Injury)
Nyambe R.
(Injury)
Ward J.
(Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Derby won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 2:13 (average 0.3:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Burnley?
Derby County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Derby County?
Burnley has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Burnley were as follows:
10.12.2024
Burnley
-
Derby County
0:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Burnley
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Coventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Hull | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sheffield Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | Oxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
