Burnley vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Supersport Action
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
chinaChinaMigu
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports Prime
hungaryHungaryTV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia, Discovery+
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaSKY NET Sports 2
mauritiusMauritiusMBC 11
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.820.89
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
43
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
91
Passes
84% (464/551)71% (211/297)
Yellow cards
42
Expected goals (xG)
3.820.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.501.38
Total shots
228
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
102
Shots inside the box
174
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
5013
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
40
Free kicks
1314
Passes
84% (464/551)71% (211/297)
Long passes
45% (24/53)41% (27/66)
Passes in final third
75% (117/156)55% (45/82)
Crosses
11% (3/28)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.970.47
Throw ins
2310
Fouls
1413
Tackles
36% (5/14)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
2136
Interceptions
1025
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
1.381.50
Goals prevented
-0.620.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Laurent J. , Foster L. (A),
  • 37', Ekdal H. 🟨,
  • 40', Barnes A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Oates R. , Knoyle K. (A),
  • 56', Laurent J. 🟨,
  • 58', Akins L. 🟨,
  • 59', Evans W. 🟨,
  • 60', Russell J. , Hendry R. ,
  • 66', Bruun Larsen J. , Mejbri H. ,
  • 66', Tchaouna L. , Edwards M. ,
  • 78', Florentino 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Reed L. ,
  • 81', Barnes A. , Ugochukwu L. ,
  • 81', Florentino , Flemming Z. ,
  • 83', Knoyle K. , Hewitt E. ,
  • 84', Oates R. , Bolton L. ,
  • 84', Evans W. , Adeboyejo V. ,
  • 90+1', Ward-Prowse J. , Lucas Pires ,

Chances of winning


Burnley
69.5%
Draw
19.8%
Mansfield Town
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 20.9% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 22.7% 12.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Burnley - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.43)
    4.89
    (4.46)
    9.22
    (6.7)
    4%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Burnley - Mansfield Town?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Mansfield will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 59.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Burnley (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mansfield (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Burnley is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Burnley
    11.02.2026 Crystal Palace - Burnley 2:3
    07.02.2026 Burnley - West Ham United 0:2
    02.02.2026 Sunderland - Burnley 3:0
    17.01.2026 Liverpool - Burnley 1:1
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1StokeBye
    4ByeCoventry
    5FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    10CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    12ByeSouthampton
    13CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    14BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    16ByeLeicester
    17TottenhamBye
    20ByeAston Villa
    21NewcastleBye
    24ByeBournemouth
    25Manchester CityBye
    27FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    28WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    29SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    30TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    31RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    32BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49BurnleyBye
    52ByeMillwall
    53Sheffield UtdBye
    55GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    56MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    57PortsmouthBye
    60ByeArsenal
    61PrestonBye
    63WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    64SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    65GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    66WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    67ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    68Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    69WolvesBye
    71SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    72South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    73LiverpoolBye
    75PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    76BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    77Manchester UtdBye
    80ByeBrighton
    81Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    82BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    83FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    84LutonForest Green4 : 3
    85Bristol CityBye
    88ByeWatford
    89ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    90OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    92ByeOxford Utd
    93EvertonBye
    96ByeSunderland
    97WrexhamBye
    100ByeNottingham
    101IpswichBye
    103BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    104ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    105HullBye
    108ByeBlackburn
    109CharltonBye
    112ByeChelsea
    113TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    114Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    116ByeBirmingham
    117DerbyBye
    120ByeLeeds
    121NorwichBye
    123AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    124EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    125SwanseaBye
    128ByeWest Brom

    1/64-finals
    1StokeBye
    2ByeCoventry
    3FulhamBye
    4ByeMiddlesbrough
    5ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    6ByeSouthampton
    7CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    8ByeLeicester
    9TottenhamBye
    10ByeAston Villa
    11NewcastleBye
    12ByeBournemouth
    13Manchester CityBye
    14ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    15SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    16SwindonBolton4 : 0
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25BurnleyBye
    26ByeMillwall
    27Sheffield UtdBye
    28AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    29PortsmouthBye
    30ByeArsenal
    31PrestonBye
    32WiganBarrow3 : 2
    33GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    34ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    35WolvesBye
    36SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    37LiverpoolBye
    38PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    39Manchester UtdBye
    40ByeBrighton
    41Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    42FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    43Bristol CityBye
    44ByeWatford
    45MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    46ByeOxford Utd
    47EvertonBye
    48ByeSunderland
    49WrexhamBye
    50ByeNottingham
    51IpswichBye
    52BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    53HullBye
    54ByeBlackburn
    55CharltonBye
    56ByeChelsea
    57Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    58ByeBirmingham
    59DerbyBye
    60ByeLeeds
    61NorwichBye
    62GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    63SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom

    1/32-finals
    1StokeCoventry1 : 0
    2FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    3DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    4CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    5TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    6NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    7Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    8SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    14Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    15PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    16PrestonWigan0 : 1
    17GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    18WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    19LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    20Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    21Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    22Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    23MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    24EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    25WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    26IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    27HullBlackburn1 : 0
    28CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    29Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    30DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    31NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    32SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1StokeFulham1 : 2
    2SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    3Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    4Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    8ArsenalWigan4 : 0
    9GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    10LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    11Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    12Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    13WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    14HullChelsea0 : 4
    15BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    16NorwichWest Brom3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1FulhamSouthampton
    2NewcastleManchester City
    3West HamBrentford
    4MansfieldArsenal
    5WolvesLiverpool
    6Port ValeSunderland
    7WrexhamChelsea
    8LeedsNorwich