Plymouth Argyle vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Home Park (Plymouth).

League One - Round 25
Referee: Yates O. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.58	0.52
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
9	4
Passes
84% (430/514)	63% (165/262)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.58	0.52
xG on target (xGOT)
2.51	0.46
Total shots
20	8
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
8	4
Shots inside the Box
13	2
Shots outside the Box
7	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
9	4
Touches in opposition box
31	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
7	7
Passes
84% (430/514)	63% (165/262)
Long passes
47% (27/58)	29% (20/70)
Passes in final third
67% (84/125)	49% (41/83)
Crosses
25% (6/24)	0% (0/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.03	0.21
Throw-ins
26	24
Fouls
7	7
Tackles
50% (5/10)	76% (19/25)
Duels won
46	47
Clearances
29	36
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.46	2.51
Goals prevented
0.46	-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Galloway B. ⚽, Ralls J. (A),
29', Hartridge A. ↓, Akoto N. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Pepple A. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
60', Pleguezuelo J. ↓, Ross M. ↑,
63', 2 - 0, Ross M. ⚽, Tolaj L. (A),
66', Tolaj L. 🟨,
67', Mumba B. 🟨,
72', Amaechi X. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
73', Ralls J. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Tolaj L. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
79', Tavares F. 🟨,
83', Mitchell A. ↓, Finn T. ↑,
90', Williams D. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,
90+1', Tavares F. ↓, Scutt Z. ↑,
90+1', Evans G. ↓, Newall J. ↑,
90+1', Larsson J. ↓, Taroni J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Plymouth Argyle
51.7%

Draw
26.3%

Burton Albion
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27.5%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.3%

28.5%

Plymouth Argyle - Burton Albion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.1)	3.58 ↑ (3.34)	4.17 ↑ (3.2)	6.3% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Burton Albion?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Burton will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 32.6% – 78.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Burton (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Plymouth will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Plymouth: Ibrahim B. (Inactive) MacKenzie J. (Shin Injury)
There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sraha J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Plymouth: Dale O. (Inactive) Oseni O. (Injury)
There are questionable in Burton: Godwin-Malife U. (Inactive) McKiernan J. J. (Inactive) Revan S. (Inactive) Webster C. (Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Burton Albion?

Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Plymouth Argyle?

Burton Albion has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Burton Albion were as follows:

27.09.2025 Burton Albion - Plymouth Argyle 0:4

19.11.2022 Burton Albion - Plymouth Argyle 2:2

Latest results of Plymouth Argyle

01.01.2026 Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle 1:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Wycombe Wanderers 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Reading 1:4 ✺

20.12.2025 Doncaster Rovers - Plymouth Argyle 1:5 ✺

13.12.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Rotherham United 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Burton Albion

01.01.2026 Reading - Burton Albion 2:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic 0:2 ✺

26.12.2025 Burton Albion - Northampton Town 5:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion 2:2 ✺

13.12.2025 Burton Albion - Wycombe Wanderers 0:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	30	19	6	5	55:29	26	63
2	Lincoln	30	18	7	5	52:30	22	61
3	Bolton	31	15	10	6	41:29	12	55
4	Stockport County	30	15	8	7	42:35	7	53
5	Huddersfield	31	14	7	10	53:42	11	49
6	Bradford City	29	14	7	8	37:33	4	49
7	Luton	30	13	6	11	40:35	5	45
8	Peterborough	31	14	2	15	45:41	4	44
9	Wycombe	30	11	10	9	40:31	9	43
10	Reading	30	11	10	9	43:39	4	43
11	Stevenage	29	11	9	9	31:30	1	42
12	Mansfield	29	10	9	10	37:32	5	39
13	Exeter	29	11	5	13	33:30	3	38
14	AFC Wimbledon	29	11	5	13	32:38	-6	38
15	Barnsley	27	10	7	10	44:46	-2	37
16	Plymouth	30	11	4	15	37:46	-9	37
17	Blackpool	30	9	6	15	37:44	-7	33
18	Leyton Orient	30	9	6	15	40:49	-9	33
19	Northampton	30	9	6	15	29:39	-10	33
20	Doncaster	30	9	6	15	33:50	-17	33
21	Burton	30	8	8	14	33:45	-12	32
22	Wigan	30	7	10	13	31:42	-11	31
23	Rotherham	29	8	7	14	31:43	-12	31
24	Port Vale	28	5	7	16	22:40	-18	22

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two