Burton Albion vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Burton Albion - Plymouth Argyle
Result
0:4
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 10
  • Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.623.59
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
39
Big Chances
07
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
77% (344/445)62% (167/270)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.623.59
xG on target (xGOT)
0.153.68
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
07
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2423
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
810
Passes
77% (344/445)62% (167/270)
Long passes
49% (35/71)26% (19/74)
Passes in final third
67% (126/187)53% (58/109)
Crosses
25% (6/24)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.122.06
Throw-ins
2821
Fouls
108
Tackles
70% (7/10)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5145
Clearances
2331
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
3.680.15
Goals prevented
-0.320.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Tolaj L. , Boateng M. (A),
  • 45', 0 - 2, Oseni O. , Boateng M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', McKiernan J. J. , Williams D. ,
  • 55', 0 - 3, Tolaj L. ,
  • 69', Sibbick T. , Delap F. ,
  • 69', Evans G. , Armer J. ,
  • 69', Beesley J. , Tavares F. ,
  • 72', Oseni O. , Pepple A. ,
  • 77', Ibrahim B. , Finn T. ,
  • 81', 0 - 4, Pepple A. , Mumba B. (A),
  • 82', Lofthouse K. , Taroni J. ,
  • 85', Tolaj L. , Paterson J. ,
  • 85', McCabe L. , Roberts C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
36.9%
Draw
27.9%
Plymouth Argyle
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 26.4% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 26.8% 37.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Burton Albion - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.69)
    3.38
    (3.58)
    2.7
    (2.45)
    5.7%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 0.
    • Recent form of Burton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Plymouth is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Burton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J. (Ankle Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Vancooten T. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X. (Hamstring Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury) Szucs K. (Injury) Watts C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burton: McKiernan J. J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: MacKenzie J. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Burton won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    19.11.2022 Burton Albion - Plymouth Argyle 2:2
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1382321:111026
    2Stevenage1282218:10826
    3Bradford City1375123:16726
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1481519:15425
    6Lincoln1373318:11724
    7Bolton1465319:15423
    8Mansfield1354419:15419
    9Huddersfield1361618:18019
    10Luton1361615:15019
    11Barnsley1253418:17118
    12Doncaster1453613:19-618
    13Wigan1445517:18-117
    14Leyton Orient1452721:23-217
    15Rotherham1352613:16-317
    16Northampton1452710:13-317
    17Wycombe1444618:16216
    18Exeter1451814:14016
    19Reading1436515:19-415
    20Burton1343611:16-515
    21Port Vale1334611:12-113
    22Plymouth1341817:23-613
    23Blackpool1433813:22-912
    24Peterborough1331910:22-1210

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two