Result
3:0
04/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 25
- Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (430/514) | 63% (165/262) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (430/514) | 63% (165/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 29% (20/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (84/125) | 49% (41/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 76% (19/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Galloway B. ⚽, Ralls J. (A),
- 29', Hartridge A. ↓, Akoto N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', Pepple A. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
- 60', Pleguezuelo J. ↓, Ross M. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 0, Ross M. ⚽, Tolaj L. (A),
- 66', Tolaj L. 🟨,
- 67', Mumba B. 🟨,
- 72', Amaechi X. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
- 73', Ralls J. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 0, Tolaj L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 79', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
- 79', Tavares F. 🟨,
- 83', Mitchell A. ↓, Finn T. ↑,
- 90', Williams D. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,
- 90+1', Tavares F. ↓, Scutt Z. ↑,
- 90+1', Evans G. ↓, Newall J. ↑,
- 90+1', Larsson J. ↓, Taroni J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Plymouth Argyle
51.7% | Draw
26.3% | Burton Albion
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Argyle's performance.Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burton Albion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Argyle that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burton Albion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Plymouth Argyle - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(2.1) |
3.58 ↑
(3.34) |
4.17 ↑
(3.2) |
6.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Burton Albion?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Burton will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Burton (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Plymouth will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Plymouth: Ibrahim B.
(Inactive)
MacKenzie J.
(Shin Injury)
- There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Dale O.
(Inactive)
Oseni O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Burton: Godwin-Malife U.
(Inactive)
McKiernan J. J.
(Inactive)
Revan S.
(Inactive)
Webster C.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Burton Albion?
Plymouth Argyle has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Plymouth Argyle?
Burton Albion has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Burton Albion were as follows:
27.09.2025
Burton Albion
-
Plymouth Argyle
0:4
19.11.2022
Burton Albion
-
Plymouth Argyle
2:2
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
