Result
0:4
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 10
- Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 3.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (344/445) | 62% (167/270) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 3.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 3.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (344/445) | 62% (167/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (35/71) | 26% (19/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (126/187) | 53% (58/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.68 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', Ibrahim B. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Tolaj L. ⚽, Boateng M. (A),
- 45', 0 - 2, Oseni O. ⚽, Boateng M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
- 55', 0 - 3, Tolaj L. ⚽,
- 69', Sibbick T. ↓, Delap F. ↑,
- 69', Evans G. ↓, Armer J. ↑,
- 69', Beesley J. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
- 72', Oseni O. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
- 77', Ibrahim B. ↓, Finn T. ↑,
- 81', 0 - 4, Pepple A. ⚽, Mumba B. (A),
- 82', Lofthouse K. ↓, Taroni J. ↑,
- 85', Tolaj L. ↓, Paterson J. ↑,
- 85', McCabe L. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
36.9% | Draw
27.9% | Plymouth Argyle
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Burton Albion - Plymouth Argyle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↓
(2.69) |
3.38 ↓
(3.58) |
2.7 ↑
(2.45) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 0.
- Recent form of Burton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Plymouth is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Burton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Knee Injury)
Szucs K.
(Injury)
Watts C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Burton: McKiernan J. J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: MacKenzie J.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Burton won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Plymouth Argyle?
Burton Albion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Burton Albion?
Plymouth Argyle has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
19.11.2022
Burton Albion
-
Plymouth Argyle
2:2
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Lincoln | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Stockport County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Bolton | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
| 13 | Northampton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Wigan | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 17 | Exeter | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 18 | Leyton Orient | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 | Reading | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 9 |
| 21 | Burton | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 9 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
