Result
0:0
16/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 3
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (351/431) | 69% (191/275) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (351/431) | 69% (191/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (37/70) | 34% (21/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (100/155) | 58% (63/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (11/34) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Byers G. 🟥,
- 34', Delap F. 🟨,
- 43', Armer J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Beesley J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Delap F. ↓, Revan S. ↑,
- 50', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
- 73', Curtis R. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
- 78', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
- 78', Tavares F. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
- 87', Gordon L. ↓, Kyle John ↑,
- 87', Tolaj L. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
- 90+8', Webster C. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
- 90+8', Ojo F. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
- 90+10', Clark M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
29.6% | Draw
29% | Port Vale
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burton Albion's form might have worsened.Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Port Vale's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burton Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Port Vale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Burton Albion - Port Vale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↑
(2.45) |
3.23 ↓
(3.29) |
2.27 ↓
(2.89) |
6.6%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Port Vale?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Port Vale will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Port Vale will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Burton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Burton has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Burton: Hazlehurst J.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Vancooten T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Burton: Chauke K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Port Vale: Garrity B.
(Injury)
Paton R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Burton won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Port Vale?
Burton Albion has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Burton Albion?
Port Vale has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Port Vale were as follows:
27.07.2024
Burton Albion
-
Port Vale
2:0
23.03.2024
Burton Albion
-
Port Vale
0:1
14.11.2023
Burton Albion
-
Port Vale
0:2
04.11.2023
Port Vale
-
Burton Albion
0:0
19.09.2023
Port Vale
-
Burton Albion
2:3
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of Port Vale
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Barnsley | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Luton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Lincoln | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Exeter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Wigan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 15 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 | Burton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Reading | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 22 | Northampton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Plymouth | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
