Port Vale vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/02/2026 at 07:31 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

League One - Round 31
Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.51	1.84
Ball possession
43%	57%
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
5	6
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
5	6
Passes
62% (156/252)	70% (228/328)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.51	1.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.88	2.30
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked shots
4	5
Shots inside the box
9	10
Shots outside the box
4	3
Hit the woodwork
1	2
Big chances
1	3
Corner kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
18	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free kicks
12	9
Passes
62% (156/252)	70% (228/328)
Long passes
33% (20/60)	46% (32/70)
Passes in final third
53% (37/70)	58% (84/146)
Crosses
39% (7/18)	21% (7/34)
Expected assists (xA)
1.13	1.45
Throw ins
21	39
Fouls
9	12
Tackles
67% (10/15)	43% (6/14)
Duels won
71	56
Clearances
53	19
Interceptions
3	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
2.30	0.88
Goals prevented
0.30	-1.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Archer E. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Beesley J. ⚽, Revan S. (A),
29', 2 - 1, Waine B. ⚽,
36', Vancooten T. 🟨,
40', Hall G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 2 - 2, Beesley J. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
55', Krubally S. 🟨,
61', Hall C. 🟨,
70', Vancooten T. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
76', Stockley J. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
76', Waine B. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
78', Krubally S. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
83', Archer E. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
88', Shade T. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
90+3', Croasdale R. ↓, Magloire T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale
39.7%

Draw
28.4%

Burton Albion
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Port Vale - Burton Albion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.08)	3.29 ↑ (3.27)	2.94 ↓ (3.33)	6.9% (8.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Burton Albion?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Burton will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Port Vale will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.
Port Vale has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Burton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G. (Injury)
There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Sraha J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Burton: Webster C. (Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Burton Albion?

Port Vale has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Port Vale?

Burton Albion has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Burton Albion were as follows:

16.08.2025 Burton Albion - Port Vale 0:0

27.07.2024 Burton Albion - Port Vale 2:0

23.03.2024 Burton Albion - Port Vale 0:1

14.11.2023 Burton Albion - Port Vale 0:2

04.11.2023 Port Vale - Burton Albion 0:0

Latest results of Port Vale

03.02.2026 Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon 0:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Leyton Orient - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Port Vale - Exeter City 1:3 ✺

17.01.2026 Mansfield Town - Port Vale 3:0 ✺

13.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Burton Albion

03.02.2026 Burton Albion - Doncaster Rovers 1:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Burton Albion - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:1 ✺

22.01.2026 Lincoln City - Burton Albion 2:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Burton Albion - Huddersfield Town 3:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	42	28	9	5	79:36	43	93
2	Cardiff	41	24	9	8	76:42	34	81
3	Bradford City	42	21	8	13	52:46	6	71
4	Bolton	42	18	16	8	59:44	15	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	41	19	10	12	43:38	5	67
7	Plymouth	42	19	6	17	66:58	8	63
8	Huddersfield	42	17	11	14	65:56	9	62
9	Reading	43	16	14	13	62:55	7	62
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	43	16	12	15	63:51	12	60
12	Barnsley	40	14	12	14	63:65	-2	54
13	Mansfield	40	13	14	13	50:43	7	53
14	Doncaster	42	15	8	19	43:64	-21	53
15	Wigan	42	13	13	16	46:56	-10	52
16	Peterborough	41	15	6	20	60:58	2	51
17	Burton	43	13	12	18	46:56	-10	51
18	Blackpool	43	14	9	20	51:65	-14	51
19	Leyton Orient	42	14	8	20	57:66	-9	50
20	AFC Wimbledon	42	14	8	20	49:63	-14	50
21	Exeter	43	12	11	20	47:55	-8	47
22	Rotherham	41	9	10	22	36:62	-26	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship