Result
2:2
07/02/2026 at 07:31 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 31
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (156/252) | 70% (228/328) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (156/252) | 70% (228/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (20/60) | 46% (32/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (37/70) | 58% (84/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 21% (7/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', Godwin-Malife U. 🟨,
- 6', 1 - 0, Archer E. ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 1, Beesley J. ⚽, Revan S. (A),
- 29', 2 - 1, Waine B. ⚽,
- 36', Vancooten T. 🟨,
- 40', Hall G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 2, Beesley J. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
- 55', Krubally S. 🟨,
- 61', Hall C. 🟨,
- 70', Vancooten T. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
- 76', Stockley J. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
- 76', Waine B. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
- 78', Krubally S. ↓, Cannon A. ↑,
- 83', Archer E. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
- 88', Shade T. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
- 90+3', Croasdale R. ↓, Magloire T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Port Vale
39.7% | Draw
28.4% | Burton Albion
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Port Vale - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.08) |
3.29 ↑
(3.27) |
2.94 ↓
(3.33) |
6.9%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Burton Albion?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Burton will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.
- Port Vale has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Burton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Sraha J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Burton: Webster C.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Burton Albion?
Port Vale has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Port Vale?
Burton Albion has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Burton Albion were as follows:
16.08.2025
Burton Albion
-
Port Vale
0:0
27.07.2024
Burton Albion
-
Port Vale
2:0
23.03.2024
Burton Albion
-
Port Vale
0:1
14.11.2023
Burton Albion
-
Port Vale
0:2
04.11.2023
Port Vale
-
Burton Albion
0:0
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 9 | Wycombe | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 50 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 53:53 | 0 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 40 |
| 17 | Burton | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 34 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
