Result
5:0
10/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 21
- Referee: Rahmonov D. (Uzb)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Norchaev K. ⚽,
- 25', 2 - 0, Otubanjo Y. ⚽,
- 27', Ikic F. 🟨,
- 28', 3 - 0, Mukhitdinov S. ⚽,
- 30', 4 - 0, Otubanjo Y. ⚽,
- 33', Khayrullaev R. ↓, Cirjak F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Colovic S. ↓, Sidikov J. ↑,
- 46', Tomasevic J. ↓, Numonov I. ↑,
- 47', 5 - 0, Ceran D. ⚽,
- 58', Norchaev K. 🟨,
- 59', Otubanjo Y. ↓, Bozorov O. ↑,
- 59', Norchaev K. ↓, Nurulloev S. ↑,
- 59', Eshmurodov U. ↓, Gaybullaev G. ↑,
- 68', Tupliev B. ↓, Juraev A. ↑,
- 68', Tabatadze T. ↓, Begic D. ↑,
- 77', Jurabekov S. 🟨,
- 81', Numonov I. 🟨,
- 83', Rakhmatov M. ↓, Ubaydullayev J. ↑,
- 83', Amonov A. ↓, Ahmadjonov N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nasaf Qarshi
66.8% | Draw
21.3% | Buxoro
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Buxoro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↑
(1.35) |
4.34 ↑
(4.29) |
7.72 ↓
(9.15) |
8.4%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Nasaf will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nasaf: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nasaf Qarshi will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 15 in the zone Super League (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 4.
- Nasaf is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Buxoro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Buxoro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nasaf is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nasaf won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:11. (average 1.8:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nasaf won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nasaf Qarshi won against Buxoro?
Nasaf Qarshi has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buxoro won against Nasaf Qarshi?
Buxoro has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nasaf Qarshi - Buxoro were as follows:
19.04.2025
Buxoro
-
Nasaf Qarshi
1:3
10.08.2023
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Buxoro
1:0
01.08.2023
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Buxoro
4:3
17.03.2023
Buxoro
-
Nasaf Qarshi
0:1
Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 12 |
| 2 | Buxoro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Pakhtakor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Nasaf Qarshi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Bunyodkor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Andijan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Navbahor Namangan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Qizilqum | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | OKMK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Xorazm Urganch | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Kokand 1912 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Din. Samarkand | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Termez Surkhon | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Sogdiana | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:9 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
