Result
1:3
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 36
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Lucas L. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Johnston J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 65', 1 - 2, Flint W. ⚽,
- 75', 1 - 3, Gilsenan Z. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Merthyr Town
42.4% | Draw
23.7% | Buxton
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Merthyr Town - Buxton Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.07) |
3.89 ↓
(4.04) |
2.75 ↓
(2.88) |
7.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Buxton?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
- In recent matches, Merthyr has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Buxton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Buxton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Buxton?
Merthyr Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buxton won against Merthyr Town?
Buxton has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Buxton were as follows:
29.11.2025
Buxton
-
Merthyr Town
1:2
05.11.2022
Buxton
-
Merthyr Town
2:0
Latest results of Merthyr Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 104:49 | 55 | 94 |
| 2 | South Shields | 43 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 94:40 | 54 | 91 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 43 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 67:48 | 19 | 78 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 78:60 | 18 | 76 |
| 5 | Scarborough | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 58:50 | 8 | 69 |
| 6 | Chester | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64:63 | 1 | 69 |
| 7 | Darlington | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 76:64 | 12 | 68 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 43 | 21 | 4 | 18 | 89:79 | 10 | 67 |
| 9 | Buxton | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 73:58 | 15 | 66 |
| 10 | AFC Telford | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 84:62 | 22 | 64 |
| 11 | Spennymoor | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 59:68 | -9 | 64 |
| 12 | Marine | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 57:63 | -6 | 61 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 43 | 17 | 6 | 20 | 73:77 | -4 | 57 |
| 14 | Southport | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 61:65 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Worksop | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57:72 | -15 | 54 |
| 16 | Chorley | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 63:63 | 0 | 53 |
| 17 | Bedford | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:75 | -11 | 51 |
| 18 | Curzon Ashton | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:81 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Oxford City | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 56:63 | -7 | 50 |
| 20 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 55:63 | -8 | 50 |
| 21 | Hereford | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 56:73 | -17 | 45 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 43 | 11 | 12 | 20 | 41:75 | -34 | 45 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports ✔ | 44 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 49:86 | -37 | 38 |
| 24 | Leamington ✔ | 44 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 38:83 | -45 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Peterborough Sports is Relegated to
Leamington is Relegated to
