Result
1:3
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 36
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Lucas L. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Johnston J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 65', 1 - 2, Flint W. ⚽,
- 75', 1 - 3, Gilsenan Z. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Merthyr Town
42.4% | Draw
23.7% | Buxton
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Merthyr Town - Buxton Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.07) |
3.89 ↓
(4.04) |
2.75 ↓
(2.88) |
7.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Buxton?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
- In recent matches, Merthyr has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Buxton's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Buxton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Buxton?
Merthyr Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Buxton won against Merthyr Town?
Buxton has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Buxton were as follows:
29.11.2025
Buxton
-
Merthyr Town
1:2
05.11.2022
Buxton
-
Merthyr Town
2:0
Latest results of Merthyr Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | South Shields | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 76:29 | 47 | 77 |
| 2 | AFC Fylde | 34 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 83:37 | 46 | 75 |
| 3 | Merthyr Town | 36 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 80:63 | 17 | 63 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 45:35 | 10 | 59 |
| 5 | Darlington | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 65:49 | 16 | 56 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 58:47 | 11 | 55 |
| 7 | Radcliffe | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 63:55 | 8 | 55 |
| 8 | Scarborough | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 49:44 | 5 | 54 |
| 9 | AFC Telford | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 68:48 | 20 | 53 |
| 10 | Chester | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 52:57 | -5 | 50 |
| 11 | Marine | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 48 |
| 12 | Spennymoor | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
| 13 | Buxton | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:49 | 7 | 45 |
| 14 | Curzon Ashton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 56:63 | -7 | 45 |
| 15 | Chorley | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 54:52 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Worksop | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 45:62 | -17 | 41 |
| 17 | Southport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 47:56 | -9 | 39 |
| 18 | Bedford | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 55:65 | -10 | 39 |
| 19 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 38 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 42:54 | -12 | 35 |
| 21 | Peterborough Sports | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 41:69 | -28 | 33 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:56 | -26 | 32 |
| 23 | Hereford | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 29 |
| 24 | Leamington | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25:60 | -35 | 22 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
