Result
3:1
08/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
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| Ball possession |
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| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
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| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
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| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 9 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Noriega J. ⚽,
- 35', Garcia S. 🟨,
- 37', Escobar A. 🟨,
- 45+2', Monerris A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Monerris A. ↓, Fernandez I. ↑,
- 46', Gomez D. ↓, Sanchis R. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 0, Gimenez A. ⚽,
- 62', Escobar A. ↓, Dacosta R. ↑,
- 63', Conesa N. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 0, Dacosta R. ⚽,
- 75', Kaptoum W. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
- 75', Tejera S. ↓, Gorostidi A. ↑,
- 75', Noriega J. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
- 75', Gimenez A. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
- 79', Hernandez E. ↓, Barrio J. ↑,
- 81', Martinez Munoz I. 🟨,
- 84', 3 - 1, Palacin P. ⚽,
- 86', Alvaro J. ↓, Miguel ↑,
Chances of winning
Ferrol 53.7% | Draw 27.3% | Cacereño 19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Ferrol - Cacereño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↓ (1.74) |
3.38 ↑ (3.06) |
4.77 ↓ (4.9) |
8.5% (10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Ferrol is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cacereño has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ferrol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ferrol is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Ferrol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Cacereño?
Ferrol has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cacereño won against Ferrol?
Cacereño has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Cacereño were as follows:
06.12.2025
Cacereño
-
Ferrol
0:1
Latest results of Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 50:17 | 33 | 63 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 44 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Zamora | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 43 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Lugo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Racing Club Ferrol | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38:39 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 41:49 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 32 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 30:39 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 27:38 | -11 | 30 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 26 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 18:34 | -16 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation