Cádiz vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Cádiz - Ceuta
28/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.53
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
11
Passes
78% (279/360)85% (428/503)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.740.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.780.21
Total shots
911
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
1018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
78% (279/360)85% (428/503)
Long passes
38% (15/40)49% (29/59)
Passes in final third
59% (53/90)68% (79/116)
Crosses
18% (2/11)33% (8/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.370.62
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
1016
Tackles
73% (11/15)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5240
Clearances
2518
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.210.78
Goals prevented
0.210.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Ahmed A. 🟨,
  • 62', Diarra Y. , Ontiveros J. ,
  • 68', Kone K. , de la Fuente K. ,
  • 68', Ahmed A. , Sanchez S. ,
  • 75', Zalazar K. , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 78', Tabatadze I. , Camara D. ,
  • 80', Diakite M. 🟨,
  • 86', Anuar , Caparros A. ,
  • 86', Youness , Bodiger Y. ,
  • 87', Pascual A. , Marti R. ,
  • 87', Climent M. , Pereira R. ,
  • 90+2', Ortega I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Caparros A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cádiz
40.2%
Draw
33.7%
Ceuta
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 28.5% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 28.1% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cádiz's form might have worsened.
  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceuta's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cádiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceuta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cádiz - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (1.73)
    2.86
    (3.32)
    3.87
    (5.62)
    0.1%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cádiz - Ceuta?
  • Users Predictions: Cádiz will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.74%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cádiz will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • Cádiz is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ceuta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cádiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cádiz is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Cádiz: Fali (Knee Injury) Gil D. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez J. (Ankle Injury) Hernandez L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Ortuno J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cádiz: Ugiagbe E. (Injury) de la Rosa J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ceuta: Ahmed A. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cádiz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    • Including home match between the teams, Cádiz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cádiz - Ceuta were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:3
    Latest results of Cádiz
    21.09.2025 Málaga - Cádiz 0:1
    13.09.2025 Cádiz - Eibar 1:0
    07.09.2025 Real Sociedad B - Cádiz 3:3
    22.08.2025 Leganés - Cádiz 1:1
    Latest results of Ceuta
    21.09.2025 Ceuta - Zaragoza 1:0
    14.09.2025 Castellón - Ceuta 3:3
    07.09.2025 Ceuta - Huesca 2:1
    30.08.2025 Racing Santander - Ceuta 4:1
    23.08.2025 Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. La Coruna743016:51115
    2Cadiz CF74309:5415
    3Andorra742112:8414
    4Racing Santander741218:14413
    5Burgos CF733112:7512
    6Eibar732210:6411
    7Valladolid63218:4411
    8Las Palmas73227:5211
    9Almeria732213:13011
    10Huesca63126:8-210
    11Gijon63037:709
    12Malaga72236:7-18
    13Ceuta72237:12-58
    14Leganes61416:517
    15Mirandes72148:11-37
    16Real Sociedad B71339:11-26
    17Zaragoza71334:7-36
    18Cordoba71338:12-46
    19Castellon61239:11-25
    20Albacete612310:13-35
    21Cultural Leonesa61146:12-64
    22Granada CF60245:13-82

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation