Result
2:2
22/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 24
- Referee: Chapapria R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 2.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (367/438) | 72% (194/269) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 61% (58/95) | 60% (52/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 0% (0/8) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', Traore B. 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, Mille A. (Pen),
- 10', 1 - 1, M'Vila Y. ⚽, Gaucho Debohi D. (A),
- 30', Gaucho Debohi D. 🟨,
- 32', Kouassi L.X. 🟨,
- 34', Kamara B. 🟨,
- 35', Mendy A. (Pen),
- 35', Mendy A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Mille A. 🟨,
- 58', Kouassi L.X. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 1, Thomas R. ⚽, Gaudin J. (A),
- 61', Ba Loua A. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
- 63', Thomas R. 🟥,
- 65', Beusnard S. ↓, Arconte T. ↑,
- 65', Diawara K. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
- 65', Koudou T. ↓, Kante ↑,
- 66', Le Bihan M. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Mboup P. (Pen),
- 72', Ngom O. ↓, Lopy J. ↑,
- 81', Arconte T. ↓, Obiang J. ↑,
- 86', Gaudin J. 🟨,
- 90', Henry V. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
- 90', Najim I. ↓, Sy L. ↑,
- 90+7', M'Vila Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caen
37.8% | Draw
28.9% | Pau
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Caen - Pau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.67) |
3.24 ↑
(3.18) |
2.8 ↑
(2.5) |
7.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Caen - Pau?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Pau will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caen: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 2.
- Caen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Pau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Pau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Caen will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Caen: Benrahou Y.
(Injury)
Lecoeuche Q.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Pau: Bobichon A.
(Injury)
Boto K.
(Injury)
Gomes T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Caen: Grandsir S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Pau: Meddah D.
(Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Caen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:10 (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Pau?
Caen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Caen?
Pau has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caen - Pau were as follows:
23.08.2024
Pau
-
Caen
1:0
02.03.2024
Pau
-
Caen
2:3
12.08.2023
Caen
-
Pau
2:0
02.06.2023
Pau
-
Caen
1:0
30.08.2022
Caen
-
Pau
1:1
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | Pau FC | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Red Star | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Le Mans | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Rodez | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Annecy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Clermont | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
