Caen vs Pau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
22/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 24
  • Referee: Chapapria R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.162.20
Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
1210
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
52
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
2026
Offsides
22
Fouls
2620
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
11
Throw-ins
1713
Touches in the Opposition Box
2315
Passes
84% (367/438)72% (194/269)
Passes in the final third
61% (58/95)60% (52/86)
Crosses
27% (6/22)0% (0/8)
Tackles
63% (10/16)73% (11/15)
Clearances Total
2428
Interceptions
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', Traore B. 🟨,
  • 7', 0 - 1, Mille A. (Pen),
  • 10', 1 - 1, M'Vila Y. , Gaucho Debohi D. (A),
  • 30', Gaucho Debohi D. 🟨,
  • 32', Kouassi L.X. 🟨,
  • 34', Kamara B. 🟨,
  • 35', Mendy A. (Pen),
  • 35', Mendy A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Mille A. 🟨,
  • 58', Kouassi L.X. 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Thomas R. , Gaudin J. (A),
  • 61', Ba Loua A. , Najim I. ,
  • 63', Thomas R. 🟥,
  • 65', Beusnard S. , Arconte T. ,
  • 65', Diawara K. , Bangre M. ,
  • 65', Koudou T. , Kante ,
  • 66', Le Bihan M. , Rajot L. ,
  • 71', 2 - 2, Mboup P. (Pen),
  • 72', Ngom O. , Lopy J. ,
  • 81', Arconte T. , Obiang J. ,
  • 86', Gaudin J. 🟨,
  • 90', Henry V. , Coulibaly K. ,
  • 90', Najim I. , Sy L. ,
  • 90+7', M'Vila Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Caen
37.8%
Draw
28.9%
Pau
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 28.8% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 28.8% 36.8%

Caen - Pau Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.46
(2.67)
3.24
(3.18)
2.8
(2.5)
7.3%
(9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Caen - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Pau will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Caen: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 2.
    • Caen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Pau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Pau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Caen will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Caen: Benrahou Y. (Injury) Lecoeuche Q. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Pau: Bobichon A. (Injury) Boto K. (Injury) Gomes T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Caen: Grandsir S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pau: Meddah D. (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Caen won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:10 (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caen - Pau were as follows:
    23.08.2024 Pau - Caen 1:0
    02.03.2024 Pau - Caen 2:3
    12.08.2023 Caen - Pau 2:0
    02.06.2023 Pau - Caen 1:0
    30.08.2022 Caen - Pau 1:1
    Latest results of Caen
    17.02.2025 Annecy - Caen 1:0
    10.02.2025 Caen - Dunkerque 0:2
    01.02.2025 Troyes - Caen 3:0
    24.01.2025 Caen - Guingamp 0:1
    17.01.2025 Ajaccio - Caen 2:1
    Latest results of Pau
    14.02.2025 Pau - Rodez 0:5
    07.02.2025 Paris FC - Pau 3:1
    31.01.2025 Pau - Laval 1:1
    24.01.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
    17.01.2025 Red Star - Pau 1:3
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1594227:141331
    2St Etienne1592433:221129
    3Red Star1584321:15628
    4Reims1574428:20825
    5Montpellier1573517:14324
    6Le Mans1566319:16324
    7Guingamp1565424:25-123
    8Pau FC1565421:23-223
    9Dunkerque1556426:18821
    10Annecy1554617:16119
    11Clermont1546515:19-418
    12Grenoble1545617:20-317
    13Rodez1545615:21-617
    14Laval1536612:16-415
    15Amiens1543819:24-515
    16Nancy1543814:21-715
    17Boulogne1543816:23-715
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National