Briton Ferry Llansawel vs Caernarfon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Briton Ferry Llansawel - Caernarfon Town
Result
2:5
13/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 7
  • Referee: McInch A. (Wal)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
414
Shots on target
39
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
414
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
15
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Hurford C. ,
  • 19', 2 - 0, Price T. ,
  • 31', Hurford C. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Jones M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 49', 🟨,
  • 50', 2 - 2, Davies A. ,
  • 52', 🟨,
  • 59', Sage E. , Gammond A. ,
  • 66', 2 - 3, Davies A. ,
  • 67', Hurford C. , Anderson O. ,
  • 67', Davies R. , Dyer R. ,
  • 69', 2 - 4, Smith D. ,
  • 70', Smith C. , Jefferies D. ,
  • 73', Evans C. , Abadaki O. ,
  • 75', 2 - 5, Lock J. ,
  • 76', Bradley S. , Downey S. ,
  • 84', Gosset D. , Ellis O. ,
  • 84', Owen M. , Mooney P. ,
  • 84', Sears R. , Harrison K. ,

Chances of winning


Briton Ferry Llansawel
29.9%
Draw
23.9%
Caernarfon Town
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 25.3% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 24.3% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Briton Ferry Llansawel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Briton Ferry Llansawel - Caernarfon Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.79)
    3.89
    (3.63)
    2.02
    (2.19)
    7.5%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Briton Ferry Llansawel - Caernarfon Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Caernarfon (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Caernarfon Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
    • Briton Ferry has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Caernarfon is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Briton Ferry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Caernarfon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Briton Ferry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Briton Ferry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Briton Ferry Llansawel - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Briton Ferry Llansawel - Caernarfon Town 0:1
    14.09.2024 Caernarfon Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel 3:2
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS1072126:71923
    2Penybont1071218:61222
    3Caernarfon1062227:151220
    4Bala104339:12-315
    5Barry1035214:10414
    6Connahs Q933311:13-212
    7Colwyn Bay1025312:9311
    8Flint932418:21-311
    9Briton Ferry923416:17-19
    10Cardiff Metropolitan1015414:22-88
    11Llanelli102176:27-217
    12Haverfordwest91267:19-125

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