Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry Llansawel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
01/11/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 15
  • Referee: Livesey A. D. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
911
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
58
Corner Kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Hurford C. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Bradley S. (Pen),
  • 29', Mooney P. 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 1, Davies A. ,
  • 34', Walters T. 🟨,
  • 35', Jenkins K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', Smith C. , Sage E. ,
  • 63', Packer D. , George R. ,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Bradley S. (Pen),
  • 67', Hurford C. 🟨,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 73', Price T. , Anderson O. ,
  • 74', Bates M. 🟨,
  • 85', Lock J. , Ellis O. ,
  • 85', Bates M. , Dyer R. ,
  • 85', Jefferies D. , Bevan R. ,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90', Bradley S. , Thomas D. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 1, Mooney P. ,

Chances of winning


Caernarfon Town
71.1%
Draw
17.1%
Briton Ferry Llansawel
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 16.7% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8% 15.7% 15.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Briton Ferry Llansawel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Caernarfon Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.38)
    5.41
    (5.5)
    7.76
    (5.57)
    8.5%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Briton Ferry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Briton Ferry has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Caernarfon is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Caernarfon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Briton Ferry Llansawel - Caernarfon Town 2:5
    09.11.2024 Briton Ferry Llansawel - Caernarfon Town 0:1
    14.09.2024 Caernarfon Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel 3:2
    Latest results of Caernarfon Town
    Latest results of Briton Ferry Llansawel
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS26212370:205065
    2Connahs Q26148451:292250
    3Penybont26117837:40-340
    4Caernarfon27109849:371239
    5Colwyn Bay271071035:33237
    6Barry2699836:27936

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)