Result
1:2
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Round 9
- Referee: Jenkins R. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Sears R. ⚽,
- 34', Ismail Z. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Smith D. 🟨,
- 57', Nash B. 🟨,
- 57', Roberts C. 🟨,
- 57', Kenny J. 🟨,
- 59', 🟨,
- 62', Fregapane M. ↓, Sharif A. ↑,
- 62', Ismail Z. ↓, Franklin H. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 2, Sears R. ⚽,
- 68', Downey S. 🟨,
- 75', Kenny J. ↓, Woodcock M. ↑,
- 75', West C. ↓, Oswell J. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Woodcock M. ⚽,
- 76', Lock J. ↓, Owen M. ↑,
- 85', Sears R. ↓, Mooney P. ↑,
- 85', Davies A. ↓, Abadaki O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gap Connahs Quay 33.5% | Draw 26.3% | Caernarfon Town 40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Gap Connahs Quay - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.87 ↑ (2.47) |
3.65 ↑ (3.53) |
2.39 ↓ (2.45) |
4.2% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 1.
- Connahs Quay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Caernarfon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 51:21. (average 2.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:13. (average 3.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gap Connahs Quay won against Caernarfon Town?
Gap Connahs Quay has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Gap Connahs Quay?
Caernarfon Town has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gap Connahs Quay - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
03.12.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
1:1
28.09.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Gap Connahs Quay
3:1
17.09.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
3:2
15.03.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Gap Connahs Quay
2:1
02.02.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
1:1
Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 55:15 | 40 | 47 |
| 2 | Connahs Q | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 34:19 | 15 | 34 |
| 3 | Penybont | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 33:29 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 40:28 | 12 | 30 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:21 | 5 | 27 |
| 6 | Cardiff Metropolitan | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30:32 | -2 | 25 |
| 7 | Barry | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 24 |
| 8 | Bala | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 14:27 | -13 | 20 |
| 9 | Haverfordwest | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23:34 | -11 | 19 |
| 10 | Briton Ferry | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22:30 | -8 | 17 |
| 11 | Flint | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 30:39 | -9 | 17 |
| 12 | Llanelli | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11:50 | -39 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Championship Group )