Result
1:1
06/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 24
- Referee: Owen T. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Cieslewicz A. 🟨,
- 26', Edwards N. 🟨,
- 26', Roberts C. 🟨,
- 31', Nash B. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Hughes R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Young B. 🟨,
- 69', Young B. ↓, Clarke Z. ↑,
- 69', Mooney P. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
- 81', Hughes R. ↓, Bratley C. ↑,
- 86', Woodcock M. ↓, Oswell J. ↑,
- 87', Gosset D. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
- 87', Cieslewicz A. ↓, Owen R. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Bradley S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gap Connahs Quay
51.7% | Draw
25.3% | Caernarfon Town
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Gap Connahs Quay - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.88) |
3.65 ↑
(3.58) |
4.03 ↑
(3.6) |
8.1%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gap Connahs Quay - Caernarfon Town?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Connahs Quay will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Caernarfon will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Connahs Quay (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 1.
- Connahs Quay is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Caernarfon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Connahs Quay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Connahs Quay is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Connahs Quay will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 54:24. (average 2.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:15. (average 2.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Gap Connahs Quay won against Caernarfon Town?
Gap Connahs Quay has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against Gap Connahs Quay?
Caernarfon Town has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gap Connahs Quay - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
13.01.2026
Caernarfon Town
-
Gap Connahs Quay
2:2
23.09.2025
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
1:2
03.12.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
1:1
28.09.2024
Caernarfon Town
-
Gap Connahs Quay
3:1
17.09.2024
Gap Connahs Quay
-
Caernarfon Town
3:2
Latest results of Gap Connahs Quay
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 70:20 | 50 | 65 |
| 2 | Connahs Q | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 51:29 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Penybont | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37:40 | -3 | 40 |
| 4 | Colwyn Bay | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 35:30 | 5 | 37 |
| 5 | Caernarfon | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 46:37 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Barry | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 36 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
