Cagliari vs Monza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/03/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Unipol Domus (Cagliari).

: Serie A - Round 30
Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.65	0.52
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
77% (249/323)	86% (399/462)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65	0.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.37	0.48
Total shots
11	12
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
21	17
Through passes
100% (1/1)	100% (2/2)
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
11	17
Passes
77% (249/323)	86% (399/462)
Long passes
52% (26/50)	53% (24/45)
Passes in final third
67% (64/95)	81% (101/125)
Crosses
47% (7/15)	13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.29	0.71
Fouls
17	11
Tackles
59% (10/17)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
61	50
Clearances Total
29	18
Interceptions
7	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.48	1.37
Goals prevented
0.48	-1.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Luperto S. 🟨,
30', Izzo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Viola N. ⚽, Augello T. (A),
60', Birindelli S. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
60', Castrovilli G. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
61', Felici M. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
61', Viola N. ↓, Luvumbo Z. ↑,
67', Balde K. 🟨,
73', 2 - 0, Gaetano G. ⚽,
74', Balde K. ↓, Ganvoula S. ↑,
74', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Vignato S. ↑,
75', Piccoli R. 🟨,
76', Piccoli R. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
76', Prati M. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
82', Mota D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
90+1', Augello T. ↓, Zappa G. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Luvumbo Z. ⚽, Gaetano G. (A),

Chances of winning

Cagliari
53.6%

Draw
27.2%

Monza
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

27.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

26.7%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Cagliari - Monza Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.77)	3.52 ↓ (3.53)	4.99 ↓ (5.01)	4.6% (4.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Cagliari - Monza?

Users Predictions: Cagliari will win (62 of 72 users predict this - 86.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.12% – 94.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Cagliari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Cagliari is a favorite.
There will not play in Monza: Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Cagliari: Coman F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Obert A. (Thigh Injury) Zappa G. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Monza: Caldirola L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carboni A. (Thigh Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Cagliari won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Cagliari won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Monza?

Cagliari has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Cagliari?

Monza has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Monza were as follows:

05.01.2025 Monza - Cagliari 1:2

16.03.2024 Monza - Cagliari 1:0

26.11.2023 Cagliari - Monza 1:1

Latest results of Cagliari

07.03.2025 Cagliari - Genoa 1:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Bologna - Cagliari 2:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Cagliari - Juventus 0:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Atalanta - Cagliari 0:0 ✺

09.02.2025 Cagliari - Parma 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Monza

15.03.2025 Monza - Parma 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Inter Milan - Monza 3:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Monza - Torino 0:2 ✺

24.02.2025 Roma - Monza 4:0 ✺

16.02.2025 Monza - Lecce 0:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Cagliari - Monza?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2, Sport 1
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia