Result
1:1
27/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 27
- Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3, DStv Now |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, FuboTV |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Indonesia | ANTV, Vidio |
 Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360, VTVcab |
 World | Starzplay Sports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (431/494) | 84% (335/399) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (431/494) | 84% (335/399) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (15/38) | 47% (20/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (111/152) | 67% (56/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.59 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 40', Dossena A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Delprato E. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
- 46', Ordonez C. ↓, Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↑,
- 56', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
- 61', Kilicsoy S. ↓, Folorunsho M. ↑,
- 63', 0 - 1, Folorunsho M. ⚽, Esposito Se. (A),
- 63', Valenti L. 🟨,
- 65', Sulemana I. 🟨,
- 75', Keita M. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Oristanio G. ⚽,
- 87', Sulemana I. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
- 87', Esposito Se. ↓, Pavoletti L. ↑,
- 89', Valeri E. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
- 90', Bernabe A. ↓, Cremaschi B. ↑,
- 90+4', Obert A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Parma
42.2% | Draw
32.2% | Cagliari
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cagliari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cagliari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Parma - Cagliari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.55) |
2.97 ↓
(3.09) |
3.71 ↑
(2.98) |
4.7%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Parma - Cagliari?
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 19 - 35.2%). Cagliari will win (votes: 6 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 29 - 53.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.4% – 67%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 10 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- DNB - Parma (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Parma will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Parma: Almqvist P.
(Thigh Injury)
Frigan M.
(Knee Injury)
Suzuki Z.
(Finger Injury)
- There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A.
(Knee Injury)
Borrelli G.
(Thigh Injury)
Deiola A.
(Injury)
Felici M.
(Knee Injury)
Gaetano G.
(Injury)
Mazzitelli L.
(Injury)
Mina Y.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Parma: Ndiaye A.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Parma won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Cagliari?
Parma has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Parma?
Cagliari has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Cagliari were as follows:
13.09.2025
Cagliari
-
Parma
2:0
09.02.2025
Cagliari
-
Parma
2:1
30.09.2024
Parma
-
Cagliari
2:3
03.06.2023
Parma
-
Cagliari
0:0
30.05.2023
Cagliari
-
Parma
3:2
Latest results of Cagliari
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter ✔ | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 80:31 | 49 | 79 |
| 2 | Napoli | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 69 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 48:27 | 21 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 57:29 | 28 | 64 |
| 5 | Como | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 59:28 | 31 | 61 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 48:29 | 19 | 61 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 |
| 8 | Lazio | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:33 | 4 | 48 |
| 9 | Bologna | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:41 | 1 | 48 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:44 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | Udinese | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:46 | -5 | 44 |
| 12 | Parma | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:56 | -17 | 41 |
| 14 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 38:45 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 36 |
| 17 | Lecce | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 22:46 | -24 | 29 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26:51 | -25 | 28 |
| 19 | Verona | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 23:56 | -33 | 19 |
| 20 | Pisa | 34 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 24:61 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
