Result
0:2
13/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Santos C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (218/286) | 80% (247/309) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (218/286) | 80% (247/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 49% (22/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (54/81) | 59% (29/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Ruidiaz R. ⚽, Vilca R. (A),
- 23', Rodas E. 🟨,
- 29', Garro L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rodas E. ↓, Franco D. ↑,
- 46', Solis A. ↓, Rostaing J. ↑,
- 47', Rosell Delgado J. A. 🟥,
- 57', Vasquez A. ↓, Villamarin R. ↑,
- 68', Bandiera N. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 2, Guarderas R. ⚽, Franco D. (A),
- 72', Ramirez E. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
- 76', Olivares C. (Pen),
- 77', Vilca R. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 77', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 80', Garro L. ↓, Balanta G. ↑,
- 82', Romero F. 🟨,
- 85', Olivares C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Balanta G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
38.9% | Draw
30.8% | Atlético Grau
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Grau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Grau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cajamarca - Atlético Grau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.78) |
3.04 ↓
(3.4) |
3.08 ↑
(2.47) |
6.9%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Atlético Grau?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cajamarca: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Cajamarca might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Grau: Cavagna F.
(Injury)
Garro J.
(Injury)
de la Cruz P.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Atlético Grau?
Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Cajamarca?
Atlético Grau has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Atlético Grau were as follows:
30.09.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Cajamarca
4:0
27.04.2024
Cajamarca
-
Atlético Grau
3:2
15.09.2023
Atlético Grau
-
Cajamarca
4:2
21.04.2023
Cajamarca
-
Atlético Grau
1:1
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
