Cajamarca vs Atlético Grau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
30/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.310.44
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
42
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
22
Passes
74% (261/355)77% (343/446)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.310.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.270.09
Total shots
78
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
01
Shots inside the box
12
Shots outside the box
75
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
36
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free kicks
79
Passes
74% (261/355)77% (343/446)
Long passes
49% (39/80)31% (17/55)
Passes in final third
55% (54/98)58% (47/81)
Crosses
18% (2/11)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.35
Throw ins
2236
Fouls
97
Tackles
65% (11/17)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4337
Clearances
1814
Interceptions
1510
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.091.27
Goals prevented
0.09-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Lliuya M. , Dioses D. (A),
  • 38', de Jesus M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Barreto D. , Oncoy F. ,
  • 47', Tapia I. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 0, Munoz A. , de Jesus M. (A),
  • 66', Franco E. , de la Cruz A. ,
  • 67', Vasquez A. , Camargo I. ,
  • 73', Serra P. , Ganoza M. ,
  • 73', Camacho D. , Figuera A. ,
  • 83', Rodas E. , Flores A. ,
  • 83', Arce L. , Cantt J. ,
  • 83', Dioses D. , Rasmussen M. ,
  • 89', Munoz A. , Galvez S. ,

Chances of winning


Cajamarca
48.2%
Draw
28.8%
Atlético Grau
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 28.6% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.
  • Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Grau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Cajamarca - Atlético Grau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.24)
    3.22
    (3.22)
    4.1
    (3.03)
    6.8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Atlético Grau?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cajamarca: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 2.
    • Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cajamarca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Atlético Grau were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Atlético Grau - Cajamarca 0:2
    13.06.2025 Cajamarca - Atlético Grau 0:2
    30.09.2024 Atlético Grau - Cajamarca 4:0
    27.04.2024 Cajamarca - Atlético Grau 3:2
    15.09.2023 Atlético Grau - Cajamarca 4:2
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cajamarca43108:4410
    2Alianza Lima43105:2310
    3FBC Melgar43019:459
    4U. de Deportes42207:438
    5Los Chankas42206:428
    6Sporting Cristal41216:515
    7FC Cajamarca41217:705
    8Deportivo Garcilaso41213:305
    9Alianza Atl41212:205
    10Cienciano41128:624
    11Sport Huancayo41125:504
    12Cusco41124:404
    13Sport Boys41122:3-14
    14Comerciantes Unidos41124:6-24
    15AD Tarma41123:5-24
    16Juan Pablo II41126:12-64
    17Moquegua41033:8-53
    18Grau40131:5-41

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