Result
 
                    0:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        19/10/2025 at  16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 15
 
                                                - Referee: Garcia C. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.13 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 71% | 29% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 6 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 86% (447/522) | 62% (134/216) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.13 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.52 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 6 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 6 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 21 | 15 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 14 | 11 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 86% (447/522) | 62% (134/216) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 54% (35/65) | 42% (27/65) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 69% (105/152) | 54% (34/63) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 30% (3/10) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.52 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 31 | 17 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 11 | 14 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 77% (10/13) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 46 | 42 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 18 | 34 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.47 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.48 | 0.47 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 2nd Half (0 - 2)
 - 46', De la Cruz L. ↓, Quintero J. ↑, 
 - 52', 0 - 1, Quintero J. ⚽, Villamarin R. (A), 
 - 57', 0 - 2, Villamarin R. ⚽, 
 - 65', Reyes J. ↓, Rostaing J. ↑, 
 - 65', Vilca R. ↓, de la Cruz P. ↑, 
 - 71', Oncoy F. 🟨, 
 - 74', Bandiera N. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑, 
 - 74', Sandoval T. ↓, Olivares C. ↑, 
 - 74', Garro J. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑, 
 - 77', Serra P. ↓, Lujan J. ↑, 
 - 81', Campos D. 🟨, 
 - 82', Oncoy F. ↓, Cantt J. ↑, 
 - 82', Vega J. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑, 
 - 86', Lujan J. 🟨, 
 - 90+2', Tapia R. 🟨, 
 - 90+3', Rugel L. 🟨, 
 - 90+3', Ramirez E. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Atlético Grau  63.9% | Draw  21.1% | Cajamarca  15% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Atlético Grau - Cajamarca Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.46 ↑ (1.42) | 
			   4.42 ↓ (4.55) | 
			   6.28 ↓ (6.3) | 
			   7% (8.3%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 3.
 - Grau has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
 - Cajamarca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
 - Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - In this match, Grau is the obvious favorite.
 - There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
 - In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Grau won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2.8:1).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Cajamarca?
                    
                    
                        
                            Atlético Grau has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Atlético Grau?
                    
                    
                        
                             Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Cajamarca were as follows:
                                                        
                                13.06.2025 
                                Cajamarca 
                                - 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                30.09.2024 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                - 
                                Cajamarca 
                                4:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.04.2024 
                                Cajamarca 
                                - 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                15.09.2023 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                - 
                                Cajamarca 
                                4:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                21.04.2023 
                                Cajamarca 
                                - 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Atlético Grau                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cajamarca                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )