Result
0:1
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Segura R. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (356/443) | 48% (79/165) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (356/443) | 48% (79/165) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (35/81) | 28% (19/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (100/157) | 42% (31/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Ramirez D. 🟨,
- 35', Lucumi J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Caballero F. ↑,
- 46', Vega J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
- 46', Ramirez D. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 1, Arakaki H. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
- 65', Lucumi J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
- 70', Palacios B. ↓, Balanta G. ↑,
- 70', Oncoy F. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
- 76', Arakaki H. ↓, Salcedo R. ↑,
- 78', de la Cruz A. 🟨,
- 81', Aguirre J. 🟨,
- 85', Aguirre J. 🟥,
- 85', Vasquez A. ↓, Lujan J. ↑,
- 90+6', Valencia J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
44.9% | Draw
29.5% | Ayacucho
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cajamarca's form might have worsened.Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Cajamarca - Ayacucho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.79) |
3.17 ↓
(3.68) |
3.66 ↓
(4.15) |
7.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Ayacucho?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Ayacucho (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Cajamarca (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cajamarca will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cajamarca will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 3 - 75%). Ayacucho (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Cajamarca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Ayacucho?
Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Cajamarca?
Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Ayacucho were as follows:
11.04.2025
Ayacucho
-
Cajamarca
0:1
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Ayacucho
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Cusco | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Moquegua | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grau | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
