Cajamarca vs Ayacucho – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Cajamarca - Ayacucho
Result
0:1
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Segura R. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.73
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
80% (356/443)48% (79/165)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.091.54
Total shots
118
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
80% (356/443)48% (79/165)
Long passes
43% (35/81)28% (19/69)
Passes in final third
64% (100/157)42% (31/74)
Crosses
23% (5/22)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.31
Throw-ins
2920
Fouls
1212
Tackles
67% (6/9)79% (15/19)
Duels won
3751
Clearances
1748
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.540.09
Goals prevented
0.540.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Ramirez D. 🟨,
  • 35', Lucumi J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Perez Azambuya E. M. , Caballero F. ,
  • 46', Vega J. , Palacios B. ,
  • 46', Ramirez D. , de la Cruz A. ,
  • 53', 0 - 1, Arakaki H. , Lucumi J. (A),
  • 65', Lucumi J. , Barrios K. ,
  • 70', Palacios B. , Balanta G. ,
  • 70', Oncoy F. , Cantt J. ,
  • 76', Arakaki H. , Salcedo R. ,
  • 78', de la Cruz A. 🟨,
  • 81', Aguirre J. 🟨,
  • 85', Aguirre J. 🟥,
  • 85', Vasquez A. , Lujan J. ,
  • 90+6', Valencia J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cajamarca
44.9%
Draw
29.5%
Ayacucho
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 25.4% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 21.8% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cajamarca's form might have worsened.
  • Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Cajamarca - Ayacucho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.79)
    3.17
    (3.68)
    3.66
    (4.15)
    7.4%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Ayacucho?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cajamarca will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Cajamarca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Ayacucho were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Ayacucho - Cajamarca 0:1
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    17.08.2025 FBC Melgar - Ayacucho 2:1
    09.08.2025 Ayacucho - Alianza Lima 0:1
    03.08.2025 Sport Huancayo - Ayacucho 3:1
    30.07.2025 Ayacucho - Sport Boys 0:0
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco861111:5619
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7AD Tarma941410:12-213
    8Cienciano933314:12212
    9Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    10Los Chankas840412:20-812
    11Grau932412:12011
    12Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    13Alianza Atl82426:3310
    14Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys101365:13-86
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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