Result
0:1
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Segura R. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.59 | 0.73 |
Ball Possession |
---|
72% | 28% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
80% (356/443) | 48% (79/165) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.59 | 0.73 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.09 | 1.54 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
80% (356/443) | 48% (79/165) |
Long passes |
---|
43% (35/81) | 28% (19/69) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (100/157) | 42% (31/74) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (5/22) | 36% (4/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.60 | 0.31 |
Throw-ins |
---|
29 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (6/9) | 79% (15/19) |
Duels won |
---|
37 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 48 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.54 | 0.09 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.54 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Ramirez D. 🟨,
- 35', Lucumi J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Caballero F. ↑,
- 46', Vega J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
- 46', Ramirez D. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 1, Arakaki H. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
- 65', Lucumi J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
- 70', Palacios B. ↓, Balanta G. ↑,
- 70', Oncoy F. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
- 76', Arakaki H. ↓, Salcedo R. ↑,
- 78', de la Cruz A. 🟨,
- 81', Aguirre J. 🟨,
- 85', Aguirre J. 🟥,
- 85', Vasquez A. ↓, Lujan J. ↑,
- 90+6', Valencia J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca 44.9% | Draw 29.5% | Ayacucho 25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cajamarca's form might have worsened.Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Cajamarca - Ayacucho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.06 ↑ (1.79) |
3.17 ↓ (3.68) |
3.66 ↓ (4.15) |
7.4% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Ayacucho?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cajamarca will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Cajamarca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Ayacucho?
Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Cajamarca?
Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Ayacucho were as follows:
11.04.2025
Ayacucho
-
Cajamarca
0:1
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Ayacucho
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Cusco | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 19 |
3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
7 | AD Tarma | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
8 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
9 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
10 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
11 | Grau | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
12 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
14 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
15 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
16 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
17 | Sport Boys | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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