Result
0:2
13/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (235/328) | 76% (256/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (235/328) | 76% (256/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/67) | 46% (32/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (60/102) | 65% (89/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Amondarain M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Villamarin R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 66', 0 - 1, Amondarain M. ⚽,
- 67', Neira C. ↓, Souza Espana C. ↑,
- 68', Oncoy F. 🟨,
- 75', 0 - 2, Garces C. ⚽, Da Silva B. (A),
- 78', Da Silva B. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,
- 78', Hohberg A. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
- 79', Vasquez A. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
- 80', Oncoy F. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
- 90+1', Garces C. ↓, Noronha O. ↑,
- 90+1', Gonzalez A. ↓, Amasifuen N. ↑,
- 90+6', Lujan J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
29.1% | Draw
27.8% | Cienciano
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Cajamarca - Cienciano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↓
(3.4) |
3.37 ↑
(3.1) |
2.17 ↑
(2.15) |
6.8%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Cienciano?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Cienciano will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cajamarca: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 3 - 60%). Cienciano (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Cajamarca (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Cajamarca (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Cajamarca (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Cajamarca (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Cienciano (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1.
- Recent form of Cajamarca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Cienciano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cienciano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J.
(Broken calfbone)
- There are questionable in Cienciano: Bolado J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Cienciano?
Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Cajamarca?
Cienciano has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Cienciano were as follows:
24.05.2025
Cienciano
-
Cajamarca
6:1
13.09.2024
Cajamarca
-
Cienciano
1:2
06.04.2024
Cienciano
-
Cajamarca
1:1
08.07.2023
Cienciano
-
Cajamarca
2:2
07.10.2022
Cajamarca
-
Cienciano
2:1
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Cusco | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Moquegua | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grau | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
