Result
 
                    0:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        13/10/2025 at  14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Mexico | Fanatiz | 
|  Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
|  Usa | Fanatiz | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.52 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 49% | 51% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 17 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 7 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (235/328) | 76% (256/338) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.52 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.66 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 17 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 7 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 11 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 6 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 14 | 26 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 15 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 72% (235/328) | 76% (256/338) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 36% (24/67) | 46% (32/70) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 59% (60/102) | 65% (89/136) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 33% (5/15) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.45 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 26 | 19 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 15 | 7 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 78% (14/18) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 37 | 48 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 19 | 34 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 12 | 11 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.17 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.34 | 0.17 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Amondarain M. 🟨, 
- 45+2', Villamarin R. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 66', 0 - 1, Amondarain M. ⚽, 
- 67', Neira C. ↓, Souza Espana C. ↑, 
- 68', Oncoy F. 🟨, 
- 75', 0 - 2, Garces C. ⚽, Da Silva B. (A), 
- 78', Da Silva B. ↓, Ramua A. ↑, 
- 78', Hohberg A. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑, 
- 79', Vasquez A. ↓, Palacios B. ↑, 
- 80', Oncoy F. ↓, Cantt J. ↑, 
- 90+1', Garces C. ↓, Noronha O. ↑, 
- 90+1', Gonzalez A. ↓, Amasifuen N. ↑, 
- 90+6', Lujan J. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Cajamarca 29.1%
 | Draw 27.8%
 | Cienciano 43.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Cajamarca - Cienciano Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 3.22 ↓ (3.4)
 | 3.37 ↑ (3.1)
 | 2.17 ↑ (2.15)
 | 6.8% (8.2%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Cienciano?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            14 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Cienciano will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Cajamarca: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cienciano (votes: 2 - 66.7%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1.
- Recent form of Cajamarca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Cienciano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cienciano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cienciano: Romagnoli J.
(Broken calfbone)
- There are questionable in Cienciano: Bolado J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Cienciano?
                    
                    
                        
                            Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Cajamarca?
                    
                    
                        
                             Cienciano has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Cienciano were as follows:
                                                        
                                24.05.2025 
                                Cienciano 
                                - 
                                Cajamarca 
                                6:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                13.09.2024 
                                Cajamarca 
                                - 
                                Cienciano 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                06.04.2024 
                                Cienciano 
                                - 
                                Cajamarca 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                08.07.2023 
                                Cienciano 
                                - 
                                Cajamarca 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                07.10.2022 
                                Cajamarca 
                                - 
                                Cienciano 
                                2:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cajamarca                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cienciano                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 | 
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 24 | 
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 24 | 
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:10 | 11 | 22 | 
| 6 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 | 
| 7 | Cienciano | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 21 | 
| 8 | AD Tarma | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 | 
| 9 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 21 | 
| 10 | Los Chankas | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11:10 | 1 | 16 | 
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 13 | Grau | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 15 | 
| 14 | Sport Boys | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 12 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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