Covilhã vs Caldas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
68
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
87
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Niang C. ,
  • 64', Pipo 🟨,
  • 67', Gomes Silva E. , Garcia F. ,
  • 67', Cruz F. , Liberal A. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Farinha L. , Januario (A),
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Niang C. ,

Chances of winning


Covilhã
30.7%
Draw
29.5%
Caldas
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 29.1% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 28.5% 40.9%

Covilhã - Caldas Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.02
(3.02)
3.14
(3.2)
2.33
(2.32)
7.7%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 2.
  • Covilhã has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Caldas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Covilhã won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Caldas were as follows:
09.08.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 2:1
25.07.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 1:1
04.05.2025 Covilhã - Caldas 1:1
15.02.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 0:1
30.11.2024 Caldas - Covilhã 1:2
Latest results of Covilhã
02.11.2025 Covilhã - Amora 0:2
26.10.2025 Atlético CP - Covilhã 0:0
11.10.2025 Belenenses - Covilhã 3:0
Latest results of Caldas
26.10.2025 Caldas - Lusitano GC 2:1
19.10.2025 Caldas - Mirandela 1:0
04.10.2025 Belenenses - Caldas 0:2
28.09.2025 Caldas - Mafra 1:1
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26

Group A
PlWDLDiffPts
1Trofense1466218:10824
2Amarante1463516:16021
3Vitoria Guimaraes B1455414:12220
4Braga B1455412:13-120
5Varzim1447319:14519
6AD Fafe1445516:18-217
7Paredes1438314:11317
8AD Marco 091437412:14-216
9Sao Joao Ver1427510:19-913
10Sanjoanense1427516:20-413


Group B
PlWDLDiffPts
1Os Belenenses1492320:12829
2Mafra1475221:15626
3Academica1456322:15721
4Atletico CP1462613:10320
5Caldas1453613:16-318
6Amora1445515:16-117
7Santarem1445511:12-117
81u00ba Dezembro1436511:17-615
9Lusitano GC1442814:16-214
10Covilha142668:19-1112

      Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
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