Covilhã vs Caldas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
68
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
87
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Niang C. ,
  • 64', Pipo 🟨,
  • 67', Gomes Silva E. , Garcia F. ,
  • 67', Cruz F. , Liberal A. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Farinha L. , Januario (A),
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Niang C. ,

Chances of winning


Covilhã
30.7%
Draw
29.5%
Caldas
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 29.1% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 28.5% 40.9%

Covilhã - Caldas Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.02
(3.02)
3.14
(3.2)
2.33
(2.32)
7.7%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Covilhã - Caldas?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Caldas (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 2.
    • Covilhã has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Caldas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Covilhã won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Caldas were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 2:1
    25.07.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 1:1
    04.05.2025 Covilhã - Caldas 1:1
    15.02.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 0:1
    30.11.2024 Caldas - Covilhã 1:2
    Latest results of Covilhã
    02.11.2025 Covilhã - Amora 0:2
    26.10.2025 Atlético CP - Covilhã 0:0
    11.10.2025 Belenenses - Covilhã 3:0
    Latest results of Caldas
    26.10.2025 Caldas - Lusitano GC 2:1
    19.10.2025 Caldas - Mirandela 1:0
    04.10.2025 Belenenses - Caldas 0:2
    28.09.2025 Caldas - Mafra 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amarante ✔ 1784518:16228
    2Trofense1776422:14827
    3Vitoria Guimaraes B1775517:14326
    4Varzim1767423:16725
    5Paredes1759320:11924
    6Braga B1766514:15-124
    7AD Fafe1765621:19223
    8AD Marco 09 ✔ 1747614:19-519
    9Sao Joao Ver ✔ 1728710:24-1414
    10Sanjoanense ✔ 1727818:29-1113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Os Belenenses ✔ 17122326:141238
    2Mafra ✔ 1787226:18831
    3Academica1777329:171228
    4Santarem1757513:13022
    5Atletico CP1764715:15022
    6Lusitano GC1763818:18021
    7Amora1746717:22-518
    8Caldas ✔ 1753916:23-718
    91u00ba Dezembro ✔ 1737712:20-816
    10Covilha ✔ 1728710:22-1214

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Amarante is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
    AD Marco 09 is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    Sao Joao Ver is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    Os Belenenses is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
    Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
    Caldas is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    1u00ba Dezembro is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
    Covilha is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )