Covilhã vs Caldas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 2

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
42
Corner kicks
57
Yellow cards
12
Total shots
76
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
34
Corner kicks
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Liberal A. , Cruz F. (A),
  • 41', Goncas 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Pipo , Isaac Djei B. A. ,
  • 56', 🟨,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 69', Jailson , Matos S. ,
  • 69', Liberal A. , Silva J. ,
  • 80', Cruz F. , Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. ,
  • 85', Niang C. , Diancoumba S. ,

Chances of winning


Covilhã
32.9%
Draw
30%
Caldas
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 31.3% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 30.3% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Covilhã - Caldas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.79
    (2.96)
    3.06
    (2.91)
    2.47
    (2.41)
    8.9%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Covilhã won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Caldas were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Covilhã - Caldas 2:1
    09.08.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 2:1
    25.07.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 1:1
    04.05.2025 Covilhã - Caldas 1:1
    15.02.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 0:1
    Latest results of Covilhã
    15.02.2026 Amora - Covilhã 0:3
    24.01.2026 Amora - Covilhã 2:0
    17.01.2026 Covilhã - Atlético CP 0:0
    04.01.2026 Lusitano GC - Covilhã 2:1
    Latest results of Caldas
    15.02.2026 Caldas - 1 Dezembro 2:1
    17.01.2026 Lusitano GC - Caldas 1:0
    11.01.2026 Caldas - Belenenses 1:2
    03.01.2026 Mafra - Caldas 4:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

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