Covilhã vs Caldas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
68
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
87
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Niang C. ,
  • 64', Pipo 🟨,
  • 67', Gomes Silva E. , Garcia F. ,
  • 67', Cruz F. , Liberal A. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Farinha L. , Januario (A),
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Niang C. ,

Chances of winning


Covilhã
30.7%
Draw
29.5%
Caldas
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 29.1% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 28.5% 40.9%

Covilhã - Caldas Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.02
(3.02)
3.14
(3.2)
2.33
(2.32)
7.7%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Covilhã - Caldas?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Caldas (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 2.
    • Covilhã has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Caldas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Covilhã won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Caldas were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 2:1
    25.07.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 1:1
    04.05.2025 Covilhã - Caldas 1:1
    15.02.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 0:1
    30.11.2024 Caldas - Covilhã 1:2
    Latest results of Covilhã
    02.11.2025 Covilhã - Amora 0:2
    26.10.2025 Atlético CP - Covilhã 0:0
    11.10.2025 Belenenses - Covilhã 3:0
    Latest results of Caldas
    26.10.2025 Caldas - Lusitano GC 2:1
    19.10.2025 Caldas - Mirandela 1:0
    04.10.2025 Belenenses - Caldas 0:2
    28.09.2025 Caldas - Mafra 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Varzim11002:113
    2Academica11001:013
    3Trofense10100:001
    4Os Belenenses10100:001
    5Mafra00000:000
    6Santarem00000:000
    7Amarante10011:2-10
    8Vitoria Guimaraes B10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )