Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 0, Niang C. ⚽,
- 64', Pipo 🟨,
- 67', Gomes Silva E. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 67', Cruz F. ↓, Liberal A. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Farinha L. ⚽, Januario (A),
- 76', 🟨,
- 77', 🟨,
- 85', 2 - 1, Niang C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Covilhã 30.7% | Draw 29.5% | Caldas 39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Covilhã - Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.02 (3.02) |
3.14 ↓ (3.2) |
2.33 ↑ (2.32) |
7.7% (7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Covilhã - Caldas?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Caldas (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 2.
- Covilhã has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Caldas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Covilhã won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Caldas?
Covilhã has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caldas won against Covilhã?
Caldas has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Caldas were as follows:
09.08.2025
Caldas
-
Covilhã
2:1
25.07.2025
Caldas
-
Covilhã
1:1
04.05.2025
Covilhã
-
Caldas
1:1
15.02.2025
Caldas
-
Covilhã
0:1
30.11.2024
Caldas
-
Covilhã
1:2
Latest results of Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante ✔ | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 28 |
| 2 | Trofense | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 17:14 | 3 | 26 |
| 4 | Varzim | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Paredes | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Braga B | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | AD Fafe | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:19 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 ✔ | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 19 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver ✔ | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:24 | -14 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense ✔ | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 18:29 | -11 | 13 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Os Belenenses ✔ | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26:14 | 12 | 38 |
| 2 | Mafra ✔ | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26:18 | 8 | 31 |
| 3 | Academica | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 29:17 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Santarem | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15:15 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18:18 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | Amora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 18 |
| 8 | Caldas ✔ | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 18 |
| 9 | 1u00ba Dezembro ✔ | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 16 |
| 10 | Covilha ✔ | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Amarante is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
AD Marco 09 is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sao Joao Ver is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Os Belenenses is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Mafra is Qualified for Liga 3 (Promotion Group )
Caldas is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
1u00ba Dezembro is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
Covilha is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )