Covilhã vs Caldas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Covilhã - Caldas
Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
68
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
87
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Niang C. ,
  • 64', Pipo 🟨,
  • 67', Gomes Silva E. , Garcia F. ,
  • 67', Cruz F. , Liberal A. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Farinha L. , Januario (A),
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Niang C. ,

Chances of winning


Covilhã
30.7%
Draw
29.5%
Caldas
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 29.1% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 28.5% 40.9%

Covilhã - Caldas Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.02
(3.02)
3.14
(3.2)
2.33
(2.32)
7.7%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 2.
  • Covilhã has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Caldas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Covilhã won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Caldas were as follows:
09.08.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 2:1
25.07.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 1:1
04.05.2025 Covilhã - Caldas 1:1
15.02.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 0:1
30.11.2024 Caldas - Covilhã 1:2
Latest results of Covilhã
02.11.2025 Covilhã - Amora 0:2
26.10.2025 Atlético CP - Covilhã 0:0
11.10.2025 Belenenses - Covilhã 3:0
Latest results of Caldas
26.10.2025 Caldas - Lusitano GC 2:1
19.10.2025 Caldas - Mirandela 1:0
04.10.2025 Belenenses - Caldas 0:2
28.09.2025 Caldas - Mafra 1:1
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26

Group A
PlWDLDiffPts
1Trofense1044214:8616
2Braga B104338:9-115
3Varzim1035215:11414
4Sanjoanense1027114:12213
5AD Fafe1034310:11-113
6Vitoria Guimaraes B103439:8113
7Amarante103347:10-312
8Paredes1026210:8212
9AD Marco 09101635:8-39
10Sao Joao Ver101636:13-79


Group B
PlWDLDiffPts
1Os Belenenses1061312:10219
2Mafra1053213:10318
3Caldas1053212:9318
4Academica1043314:9515
5Lusitano GC1041512:10213
6Amora1033411:12-112
7Santarem103257:10-311
8Atletico CP103259:8111
91u00ba Dezembro102447:14-710
10Covilha102446:11-510

      Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
      Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )