Covilhã vs Caldas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
68
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
87
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Niang C. ,
  • 64', Pipo 🟨,
  • 67', Gomes Silva E. , Garcia F. ,
  • 67', Cruz F. , Liberal A. ,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Farinha L. , Januario (A),
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Niang C. ,

Chances of winning


Covilhã
30.7%
Draw
29.5%
Caldas
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 29.1% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 28.5% 40.9%

Covilhã - Caldas Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.02
(3.02)
3.14
(3.2)
2.33
(2.32)
7.7%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 2.
  • Covilhã has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Caldas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Covilhã won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Caldas were as follows:
09.08.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 2:1
25.07.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 1:1
04.05.2025 Covilhã - Caldas 1:1
15.02.2025 Caldas - Covilhã 0:1
30.11.2024 Caldas - Covilhã 1:2
Latest results of Covilhã
02.11.2025 Covilhã - Amora 0:2
26.10.2025 Atlético CP - Covilhã 0:0
11.10.2025 Belenenses - Covilhã 3:0
Latest results of Caldas
26.10.2025 Caldas - Lusitano GC 2:1
19.10.2025 Caldas - Mirandela 1:0
04.10.2025 Belenenses - Caldas 0:2
28.09.2025 Caldas - Mafra 1:1
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26

Group A
PlWDLDiffPts
1Vitoria Guimaraes B1254313:9419
2Trofense1246215:9618
3Varzim1246219:13618
4AD Fafe1245313:13017
5Braga B1244410:13-316
6Amarante1243510:12-215
7Paredes1227311:10113
8AD Marco 09122738:10-213
9Sanjoanense1227315:16-113
10Sao Joao Ver121747:16-910


Group B
PlWDLDiffPts
1Os Belenenses1281315:11425
2Mafra1255217:14320
3Caldas1253413:12118
4Academica1245318:13517
5Amora1244414:14016
6Atletico CP1242611:10114
7Lusitano GC1242613:12114
8Santarem123459:12-313
91u00ba Dezembro122649:16-712
10Covilha122648:13-512

      Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
      Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )