Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 2
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Liberal A. ⚽, Cruz F. (A),
- 41', Goncas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Pipo ↓, Isaac Djei B. A. ↑,
- 56', 🟨,
- 63', 🟨,
- 69', Jailson ↓, Matos S. ↑,
- 69', Liberal A. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 80', Cruz F. ↓, Costa Branco Novais Oliveira T. ↑,
- 85', Niang C. ↓, Diancoumba S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Covilhã 32.9% | Draw 30% | Caldas 37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Covilhã - Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.79 ↓ (2.96) |
3.06 ↑ (2.91) |
2.47 ↑ (2.41) |
8.9% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Covilhã won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Covilhã won against Caldas?
Covilhã has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caldas won against Covilhã?
Caldas has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Covilhã - Caldas were as follows:
09.11.2025
Covilhã
-
Caldas
2:1
09.08.2025
Caldas
-
Covilhã
2:1
25.07.2025
Caldas
-
Covilhã
1:1
04.05.2025
Covilhã
-
Caldas
1:1
15.02.2025
Caldas
-
Covilhã
0:1
Latest results of Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )