Burton Albion vs Cambridge United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 45
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.190.50
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
73% (210/287)77% (298/389)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.190.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.841.66
Total shots
612
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
04
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
714
Passes
73% (210/287)77% (298/389)
Long passes
42% (20/48)38% (24/64)
Passes in final third
61% (65/107)56% (63/112)
Crosses
12% (3/25)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.41
Throw-ins
2422
Fouls
147
Tackles
17% (2/12)38% (8/21)
Duels won
4856
Clearances
2420
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.661.84
Goals prevented
0.66-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
  • 33', Stokes J. , Loft R. ,
  • 33', Kaikai S. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Loft R. 🟥,
  • 45+4', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
  • 45+8', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Dodgson O. , Forde A. ,
  • 46', Bennett L. , Kachunga E. ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Bodvarsson J. ,
  • 52', Stevens J. , Bishop N. ,
  • 59', Digby P. , Lavery S. ,
  • 71', Lofthouse K. , Delap F. ,
  • 77', Watts K. , Andrew D. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Kachunga E. ,
  • 87', Bodvarsson J. , Bennett M. ,
  • 87', Burrell R. , Tavares F. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, Williams D. ,

Chances of winning


Burton Albion
47.8%
Draw
27.8%
Cambridge United
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 25.9% 23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 25% 22.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Burton Albion - Cambridge United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (1.84)
    3.4
    (3.61)
    3.87
    (4.05)
    6.1%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Burton Albion - Cambridge United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Burton Albion will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Burton Albion will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 2.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • In this match Burton is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Burton: Akoto N. (Inactive) Bajrami G. (Knee Injury) Gilligan C. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cambridge: Gardner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jobe M. (Knee Injury) Malone S. (Inactive) Marosi M. (Hamstring Injury) Smith K. (Inactive) Thomas G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Godwin-Malife U. (Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cambridge: Ibsen Rossi Z. (Inactive) N'Lundulu D. (Inactive)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Burton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:20 (average 1.4:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.6:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - Cambridge United were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Cambridge United - Burton Albion 1:0
    27.01.2024 Cambridge United - Burton Albion 0:0
    09.10.2023 Burton Albion - Cambridge United 2:1
    03.05.2023 Burton Albion - Cambridge United 1:0
    27.08.2022 Cambridge United - Burton Albion 4:3
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    Latest results of Cambridge United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
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    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4014121463:65-254
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
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          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship