Cambridge United vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 11
  • Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.32
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
210
Passes
51% (104/203)83% (412/495)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.141.11
Total shots
714
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
210
Touches in opposition box
2026
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
51% (104/203)83% (412/495)
Long passes
18% (12/67)50% (30/60)
Passes in final third
39% (39/101)72% (85/118)
Crosses
11% (1/9)11% (4/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.17
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
1116
Tackles
50% (8/16)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4653
Clearances
3527
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.112.14
Goals prevented
0.11-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Holohan G. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Lavery S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Forster H. , Roles J. ,
  • 49', Barker C. 🟨,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Mpanzu P. ,
  • 55', Dixon K. , Tshimanga K. ,
  • 57', 3 - 0, Kouassi K. , Brophy J. (A),
  • 66', 3 - 1, Tshimanga K. ,
  • 72', Scott K. 🟨,
  • 74', Lavery S. , Smith K. ,
  • 75', Scott K. , Brown R. ,
  • 79', Brophy J. , Knight B. ,
  • 80', Mayor A. , Bennett L. ,
  • 87', Brown R. 🟨,
  • 88', Bennett L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Roles J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Eastwood J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cambridge United
57.4%
Draw
24.7%
Crawley Town
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 26.2% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 26.6% 21.9%

Cambridge United - Crawley Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.66
(1.8)
3.9
(3.56)
5.37
(4.2)
4.6%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Crawley Town?
  • Users Predictions: Cambridge United will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 21).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Crawley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cambridge is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Cambridge: Appere L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Adeyemo A. (Injury) Cashman D. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Crawley Town were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Crawley Town - Cambridge United 0:2
    17.08.2024 Cambridge United - Crawley Town 0:1
    Latest results of Cambridge United
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley23136440:261445
    2Swindon23134637:261143
    3Walsall23134632:211143
    4MK Dons23117544:251940
    5Salford23124733:30340
    6Notts Co23116636:251139
    7Chesterfield23108539:32738
    8Cambridge Utd23108526:19738
    9Fleetwood2397732:29334
    10Colchester2389637:28933
    11Gillingham23711531:26532
    12Barnet2388730:25532
    13Crewe2395934:31332
    14Oldham23710623:18531
    15Grimsby2387834:30431
    16Accrington2386926:26030
    17Tranmere2378837:37029
    18Cheltenham23831221:37-1627
    19Barrow23661125:33-824
    20Crawley23471227:40-1319
    21Shrewsbury23471221:38-1719
    22Bristol Rovers23531518:44-2618
    23Newport23451423:41-1817
    24Harrogate23451418:37-1917

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League