Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 11
- Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 51% (104/203) | 83% (412/495) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 51% (104/203) | 83% (412/495) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 18% (12/67) | 50% (30/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 39% (39/101) | 72% (85/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 11% (4/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Holohan G. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Lavery S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Forster H. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
- 49', Barker C. 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 0, Mpanzu P. ⚽,
- 55', Dixon K. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
- 57', 3 - 0, Kouassi K. ⚽, Brophy J. (A),
- 66', 3 - 1, Tshimanga K. ⚽,
- 72', Scott K. 🟨,
- 74', Lavery S. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 75', Scott K. ↓, Brown R. ↑,
- 79', Brophy J. ↓, Knight B. ↑,
- 80', Mayor A. ↓, Bennett L. ↑,
- 87', Brown R. 🟨,
- 88', Bennett L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Roles J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Eastwood J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cambridge United
57.4% | Draw
24.7% | Crawley Town
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambridge United's performance.Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Cambridge United - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.8) |
3.9 ↑
(3.56) |
5.37 ↑
(4.2) |
4.6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Crawley Town?
Users Predictions:
Cambridge United will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 21).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Crawley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cambridge is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Appere L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Adeyemo A.
(Injury)
Cashman D.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Crawley Town?
Cambridge United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Cambridge United?
Crawley Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Crawley Town were as follows:
01.03.2025
Crawley Town
-
Cambridge United
0:2
17.08.2024
Cambridge United
-
Crawley Town
0:1
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
