Cambridge United vs Crawley Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Cambridge United - Crawley Town
Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 11
  • Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.32
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
714
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
210
Passes
51% (104/203)83% (412/495)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.141.11
Total shots
714
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
210
Touches in opposition box
2026
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
51% (104/203)83% (412/495)
Long passes
18% (12/67)50% (30/60)
Passes in final third
39% (39/101)72% (85/118)
Crosses
11% (1/9)11% (4/35)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.17
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
1116
Tackles
50% (8/16)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4653
Clearances
3527
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.112.14
Goals prevented
0.11-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Holohan G. 🟨,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Lavery S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Forster H. , Roles J. ,
  • 49', Barker C. 🟨,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Mpanzu P. ,
  • 55', Dixon K. , Tshimanga K. ,
  • 57', 3 - 0, Kouassi K. , Brophy J. (A),
  • 66', 3 - 1, Tshimanga K. ,
  • 72', Scott K. 🟨,
  • 74', Lavery S. , Smith K. ,
  • 75', Scott K. , Brown R. ,
  • 79', Brophy J. , Knight B. ,
  • 80', Mayor A. , Bennett L. ,
  • 87', Brown R. 🟨,
  • 88', Bennett L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Roles J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Eastwood J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cambridge United
57.4%
Draw
24.7%
Crawley Town
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 26.2% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 26.6% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambridge United's performance.
  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Cambridge United - Crawley Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.8)
    3.9
    (3.56)
    5.37
    (4.2)
    4.6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Crawley Town?
  • Users Predictions: Cambridge United will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 21).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Crawley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cambridge is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Cambridge: Appere L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Adeyemo A. (Injury) Cashman D. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Crawley Town were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Crawley Town - Cambridge United 0:2
    17.08.2024 Cambridge United - Crawley Town 0:1
    Latest results of Cambridge United
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League