Result
2:1
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 18
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (254/373) | 54% (145/268) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (254/373) | 54% (145/268) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (20/67) | 22% (20/93) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (102/165) | 36% (40/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Golding J. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
- 35', Morrison M. ↓, Jobe M. ↑,
- 37', Smith K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Appere L. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 1, Tezgel E. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
- 62', Bennett L. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
- 69', McConnell G. ↓, Knight B. ↑,
- 82', Moult L. ↓, March T. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Jobe M. ⚽,
- 90+5', Lunt O. 🟨,
- 90+6', March T. 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Knight B. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Cambridge United
41.8% | Draw
30.1% | Crewe Alexandra
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Cambridge United - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.07) |
3.14 ↓
(3.26) |
3.35 ↓
(3.49) |
6.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Crewe Alexandra?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Crewe (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Crewe (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2.
- Cambridge is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Crewe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cambridge could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Ball D.
(Inactive)
Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Lavery S.
(Hamstring Injury)
McLoughlin S.
(Inactive)
Mpanzu P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Crewe: March J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Powell J.
(Groin Injury)
Sanders M. H.
(Yellow Cards)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Ibsen Rossi Z.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O.
(Calf Injury)
Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Crewe Alexandra?
Cambridge United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Cambridge United?
Crewe Alexandra has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
