Result
2:0
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 45
- Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (326/418) | 75% (283/378) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (326/418) | 75% (283/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (39/88) | 32% (20/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (107/155) | 53% (51/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.44 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 2.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Bonis L. ⚽, Markanday D. (A),
- 42', Dobra A. 🟨,
- 45', Braybrooke S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Thomas C. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
- 62', Pond A. 🟨,
- 64', O'Reilly T. ↓, Moore L. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 0, Bonis L. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
- 72', Tezgel E. ↓, Tracey S. ↑,
- 72', Demetriou M. ↓, Dancey S. ↑,
- 73', Mandeville L. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
- 78', Hutchinson R. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
- 81', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
- 82', Gordon L. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
- 82', Dobra A. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
- 87', Braybrooke S. ↓, Fleck J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chesterfield 60.5% | Draw 21.9% | Crewe Alexandra 17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesterfield's performance.Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesterfield that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+4%)
Chesterfield - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↓ (1.77) |
4.24 ↑ (3.7) |
5.32 ↑ (4.12) |
7% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Crewe Alexandra?
Users Predictions:
Chesterfield will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chesterfield will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 10)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 1.
- Chesterfield is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Crewe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Crewe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Chesterfield is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Grigg W.
(Injury)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
McFadzean K.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O.
(Back Injury)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dickson W.
(Inactive)
Ladapo F.
(Inactive)
Pearce T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Chesterfield will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Crewe Alexandra?
Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Chesterfield?
Crewe Alexandra has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
22.11.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Chesterfield
3:3
02.09.2025
Crewe Alexandra
-
Chesterfield
7:1
01.03.2025
Chesterfield
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:3
17.08.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Chesterfield
0:5
Latest results of Chesterfield
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One