Result
0:1
20/04/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League One - Round 45
- Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 38 | 23 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 130 | 89 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 69 | 49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Sibley L. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Mendez-Laing N. ⚽, Sibley L. (A),
- 41', Andrew D. 🟨,
- 45', Adams E. 🟨,
- 45', Digby P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Bennett L. ↓, Brophy J. ↑,
- 69', Thompson L. ↓, Bird M. ↑,
- 72', Digby P. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
- 76', Wilson K. ↓, Barkhuizen T. ↑,
- 80', Ahadme G. ↓, Taylor L. ↑,
- 80', Kachunga E. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
- 90+3', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Waghorn M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cambridge United 15.6% | Draw 23.2% | Derby County 61.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Cambridge United - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.02 ↑ (5.85) |
4.06 ↓ (4.07) |
1.54 ↑ (1.53) |
6.2% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Derby will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Derby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Derby is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Derby County?
Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Cambridge United?
Derby County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Derby County were as follows:
30.09.2023
Derby County
-
Cambridge United
0:0
30.12.2022
Derby County
-
Cambridge United
1:0
01.10.2022
Cambridge United
-
Derby County
0:2
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Derby County
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 68:36 | 32 | 72 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 32 | 71 |
| 3 | Bolton | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 61 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 58 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 56 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 50:36 | 14 | 53 |
| 7 | Huddersfield | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 55:46 | 9 | 52 |
| 8 | Reading | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 50:44 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | Luton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:41 | 2 | 47 |
| 11 | Peterborough | 35 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 50:49 | 1 | 46 |
| 12 | Plymouth | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 53:54 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Exeter | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 17 | Burton | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 39:50 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 | Wigan | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 37 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | -14 | 37 |
| 21 | Leyton Orient | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 36 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 35 |
| 23 | Northampton | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26:44 | -18 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two