Result
1:0
23/03/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 40
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 38 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 152 | 148 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 50 | 73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Pinnock M. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Hoskins S. ⚽, Appere L. (A),
- 45', Sibley L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Cashin E. 🟨,
- 60', McGowan A. ↓, Hondermarck W. ↑,
- 64', Adams E. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 64', Sibley L. ↓, Elder C. ↑,
- 64', Thompson L. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
- 65', Leonard M. 🟨,
- 70', Waghorn M. ↓, Washington C. ↑,
- 70', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 88', Moore L. ↓, Koiki A. ↑,
- 89', Fox B. ↓, Simpson T. ↑,
- 89', Appere L. ↓, McWilliams S. ↑,
- 90', Hoskins S. ↓, Bowie K. ↑,
- 90+10', Bradley S. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town
12.7% | Draw
23.6% | Derby County
63.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northampton Town's form might have worsened.Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derby County's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northampton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Northampton Town - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.35 ↑
(4.6) |
4.03 ↑
(3.73) |
1.48 ↓
(1.74) |
6%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
Derby County will win
(26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Northampton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Derby is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recently Derby have a series of home games.
- In this match Derby is indisputable favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.
- Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Derby County?
Northampton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Northampton Town?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Derby County were as follows:
31.10.2023
Derby County
-
Northampton Town
4:0
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Derby County
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
