Jong Ajax vs Cambuur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.381.87
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
39
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
39
Passes
81% (298/366)83% (318/385)
Yellow cards
14
Expected goals (xG)
1.381.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.892.00
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
611
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1846
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1614
Passes
81% (298/366)83% (318/385)
Long passes
51% (24/47)63% (33/52)
Passes in final third
69% (53/77)77% (110/143)
Crosses
17% (2/12)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.08
Throw ins
1915
Fouls
1416
Tackles
57% (8/14)53% (10/19)
Duels won
4052
Clearances
2919
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
72
xGOT faced
2.000.89
Goals prevented
0.00-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Diemers M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 17', Heerkens J. 🟨,
  • 24', Konadu D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 37', Souren N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Souren N. , Berkhout J. ,
  • 62', van de Pavert R. , Johnson J. ,
  • 62', Konadu D. , Vink S. ,
  • 62', Peters T. , Nash P. ,
  • 64', Rolke T. , van der Sande J. ,
  • 64', Sjostrand O. , Henstra I. ,
  • 65', van der Sande J. 🟨,
  • 74', Galvez T. 🟨,
  • 75', Ouazane A. , van der Vaart D. ,
  • 78', Ferrah I. , Kooistra W. ,
  • 82', Mulders R. , Jermoumi D. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Abdalla M. , Vink S. (A),
  • 85', O'Niel D. , Ouazane Z. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Baouf I. , Diemers M. (A),
  • 90+1', Henstra I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong Ajax
17.6%
Draw
20.6%
Cambuur
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.7% 19.7% 63.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Jong Ajax - Cambuur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.25
    (5.58)
    4.51
    (4.75)
    1.51
    (1.47)
    7.6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Cambuur?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Cambuur will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 72.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Jong Ajax (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cambuur will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cambuur (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2.
    • Jong Ajax has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cambuur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cambuur is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Cambuur were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Cambuur - Jong Ajax 4:1
    24.02.2025 Jong Ajax - Cambuur 1:1
    13.09.2024 Cambuur - Jong Ajax 0:1
    15.04.2024 Jong Ajax - Cambuur 2:1
    25.08.2023 Cambuur - Jong Ajax 4:2
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    06.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 4:0
    02.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Willem II 2:1
    19.01.2026 Jong Ajax - Roda 2:2
    22.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Waalwijk 0:2
    Latest results of Cambuur
    09.02.2026 Emmen - Cambuur Postponed
    02.02.2026 Jong PSV - Cambuur 3:2
    16.01.2026 ADO Den Haag - Cambuur 1:2
    19.12.2025 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 4:0
    12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag28212569:303965
    2Cambuur26176355:292657
    3De Graafschap28146852:411148
    4Jong PSV281441058:52646
    5Roda28129747:41645
    6Willem II28127938:36243
    7Dordrecht281171038:37140
    8Almere City271231255:451039
    9Waalwijk281081045:43238
    10Den Bosch281151249:51-238
    11Venlo281141338:42-437
    12Eindhoven FC281041440:51-1134
    13Jong Utrecht27891045:48-333
    14Helmond28951435:48-1332
    15FC Emmen26861242:48-630
    16Jong AZ28931649:55-630
    17Maastricht28861432:55-2330
    18Oss28691334:48-1427
    19Vitesse28991041:45-424
    20Jong Ajax28581535:52-1723

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )