Jong Ajax vs Cambuur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.381.87
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
39
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
39
Passes
81% (298/366)83% (318/385)
Yellow cards
14
Expected goals (xG)
1.381.87
xG on target (xGOT)
0.892.00
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
611
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1846
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1614
Passes
81% (298/366)83% (318/385)
Long passes
51% (24/47)63% (33/52)
Passes in final third
69% (53/77)77% (110/143)
Crosses
17% (2/12)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.08
Throw ins
1915
Fouls
1416
Tackles
57% (8/14)53% (10/19)
Duels won
4052
Clearances
2919
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
72
xGOT faced
2.000.89
Goals prevented
0.00-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Diemers M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 17', Heerkens J. 🟨,
  • 24', Konadu D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 37', Souren N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Souren N. , Berkhout J. ,
  • 62', van de Pavert R. , Johnson J. ,
  • 62', Konadu D. , Vink S. ,
  • 62', Peters T. , Nash P. ,
  • 64', Rolke T. , van der Sande J. ,
  • 64', Sjostrand O. , Henstra I. ,
  • 65', van der Sande J. 🟨,
  • 74', Galvez T. 🟨,
  • 75', Ouazane A. , van der Vaart D. ,
  • 78', Ferrah I. , Kooistra W. ,
  • 82', Mulders R. , Jermoumi D. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Abdalla M. , Vink S. (A),
  • 85', O'Niel D. , Ouazane Z. ,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Baouf I. , Diemers M. (A),
  • 90+1', Henstra I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong Ajax
17.6%
Draw
20.6%
Cambuur
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.7% 19.7% 63.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Jong Ajax - Cambuur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.25
    (5.58)
    4.51
    (4.75)
    1.51
    (1.47)
    7.6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Cambuur?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Cambuur will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 72.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Jong Ajax (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cambuur will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cambuur (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2.
    • Jong Ajax has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cambuur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cambuur is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Cambuur were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Cambuur - Jong Ajax 4:1
    24.02.2025 Jong Ajax - Cambuur 1:1
    13.09.2024 Cambuur - Jong Ajax 0:1
    15.04.2024 Jong Ajax - Cambuur 2:1
    25.08.2023 Cambuur - Jong Ajax 4:2
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    06.02.2026 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 4:0
    02.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Willem II 2:1
    19.01.2026 Jong Ajax - Roda 2:2
    22.12.2025 Jong Ajax - Waalwijk 0:2
    Latest results of Cambuur
    02.02.2026 Jong PSV - Cambuur 3:2
    16.01.2026 ADO Den Haag - Cambuur 1:2
    19.12.2025 Cambuur - MVV Maastricht 4:0
    12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1
    05.12.2025 Cambuur - Den Bosch 2:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 35272682:344883
    2Cambuur ✔ 36229572:442875
    3De Graafschap351781068:531559
    4Willem II351781052:401259
    5Almere City351741472:571555
    6Waalwijk3615101166:531355
    7Roda3614121057:50754
    8Jong PSV351651463:59453
    9Den Bosch351481361:61050
    10Dordrecht3511111345:50-544
    11Eindhoven FC361351850:66-1644
    12Venlo351251844:52-841
    13FC Emmen361181755:70-1541
    14Vitesse3514101160:53740
    15Jong Utrecht341091552:58-639
    16Jong AZ351142059:71-1237
    17Maastricht369101741:71-3037
    18Helmond36991840:61-2136
    19Oss358111646:61-1535
    20Jong Ajax35881948:69-2132

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie