Result
1:2
16/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (298/366) | 83% (318/385) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 46 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (298/366) | 83% (318/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (24/47) | 63% (33/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (53/77) | 77% (110/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Diemers M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 17', Heerkens J. 🟨,
- 24', Konadu D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', Souren N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Souren N. ↓, Berkhout J. ↑,
- 62', van de Pavert R. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
- 62', Konadu D. ↓, Vink S. ↑,
- 62', Peters T. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
- 64', Rolke T. ↓, van der Sande J. ↑,
- 64', Sjostrand O. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
- 65', van der Sande J. 🟨,
- 74', Galvez T. 🟨,
- 75', Ouazane A. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
- 78', Ferrah I. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
- 82', Mulders R. ↓, Jermoumi D. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Abdalla M. ⚽, Vink S. (A),
- 85', O'Niel D. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Baouf I. ⚽, Diemers M. (A),
- 90+1', Henstra I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jong Ajax
17.6% | Draw
20.6% | Cambuur
61.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Jong Ajax - Cambuur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.25 ↓
(5.58) |
4.51 ↓
(4.75) |
1.51 ↑
(1.47) |
7.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Cambuur?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Cambuur will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 72.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Jong Ajax (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cambuur will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Cambuur (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 2.
- Jong Ajax has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cambuur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cambuur is a strong favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Cambuur?
Jong Ajax has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambuur won against Jong Ajax?
Cambuur has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Cambuur were as follows:
01.11.2025
Cambuur
-
Jong Ajax
4:1
24.02.2025
Jong Ajax
-
Cambuur
1:1
13.09.2024
Cambuur
-
Jong Ajax
0:1
15.04.2024
Jong Ajax
-
Cambuur
2:1
25.08.2023
Cambuur
-
Jong Ajax
4:2
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Latest results of Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
