Result
2:1
24/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 38
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (477/542) | 71% (146/206) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (477/542) | 71% (146/206) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 79% (26/33) | 38% (21/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (193/230) | 49% (31/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Hoogewerf D. 🟨,
- 14', Achouitar O. 🟨,
- 33', Markelo N. 🟨,
- 36', Markelo N. 🟨,
- 38', Baouf I. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Bannis N. ⚽, Hoogewerf D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Zonneveld N. ↓, Bonnah S. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Diemers M. ⚽,
- 55', Thenu X. 🟨,
- 59', Galvez T. 🟨,
- 63', Apkakou E. ↓, Rolke T. ↑,
- 63', Marsman B. ↓, Mulders R. ↑,
- 66', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
- 67', Bannis N. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
- 74', Amofa J. ↓, Jonker T. ↑,
- 74', Tahaui A. ↓, Marschalk M. ↑,
- 81', Balk R. ↓, Visser K. ↑,
- 81', Kvam F. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
- 83', Schwarz R. ↓, Olde Keizer C. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Ferrah I. ⚽, Visser K. (A),
Chances of winning
Cambuur
47.9% | Draw
23.1% | Vitesse
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambuur's form might have worsened.Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitesse's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambuur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitesse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cambuur - Vitesse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.7) |
4.04 ↓
(4.25) |
3.22 ↓
(4.07) |
7.3%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cambuur - Vitesse?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Vitesse will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 11).
- Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 4.
- Cambuur has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vitesse is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Cambuur has had a series of away games.
- Cambuur will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cambuur: Visser D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.4:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambuur won against Vitesse?
Cambuur has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Cambuur?
Vitesse has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambuur - Vitesse were as follows:
07.11.2025
Vitesse
-
Cambuur
0:4
25.04.2025
Cambuur
-
Vitesse
2:1
22.11.2024
Vitesse
-
Cambuur
0:6
07.02.2024
Cambuur
-
Vitesse
3:1
14.05.2023
Vitesse
-
Cambuur
2:0
Latest results of Cambuur
Latest results of Vitesse
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
