Cambuur vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Cambuur - Willem II
Result
2:2
06/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 6
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.510.58
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
105
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
88% (451/513)83% (266/322)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
3.510.58
xG on target (xGOT)
3.351.41
Total shots
2210
Shots on target
105
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
156
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
4615
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
147
Passes
88% (451/513)83% (266/322)
Long passes
51% (18/35)53% (32/60)
Passes in final third
81% (116/143)72% (57/79)
Crosses
24% (7/29)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
2.240.77
Throw-ins
1112
Fouls
715
Tackles
70% (7/10)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4435
Clearances
1230
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
1.413.35
Goals prevented
0.411.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Baouf I. (Own goal),
  • 27', Mathijsen J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Mathijsen J. , de Ruijter F. ,
  • 50', 1 - 1, Ferrah I. , Mulders R. (A),
  • 55', Haen D. 🟨,
  • 68', Rolke T. , van der Sande J. ,
  • 74', Ferrah I. , Souren N. ,
  • 75', Culum A. , Verheydt T. ,
  • 75', Bamba S. , El Allouchi M. ,
  • 82', Sjostrand O. , Kooistra W. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, de Ruijter F. , Haen D. (A),
  • 84', Balk R. , Visser K. ,
  • 90', 2 - 2, Visser K. , van der Sande J. (A),
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cambuur
51%
Draw
28.3%
Willem II
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 23.7% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 23.2% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Cambuur - Willem II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.77)
    3.52
    (3.9)
    5.02
    (3.82)
    -3%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Cambuur - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Willem II will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 8%64.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cambuur (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cambuur is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Ciranni A. (Inactive) Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cambuur: Amofa J. (Injury) Sjostrand O. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambuur - Willem II were as follows:
    02.02.2024 Willem II - Cambuur 1:1
    17.09.2023 Cambuur - Willem II 1:0
    Latest results of Cambuur
    31.08.2025 Cambuur - VVV-Venlo 3:1
    25.08.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur 0:1
    15.08.2025 Cambuur - FC Oss 1:0
    08.08.2025 Dordrecht - Cambuur 1:0
    19.07.2025 Cambuur - Telstar 0:2
    Latest results of Willem II
    29.08.2025 Willem II - Jong Utrecht 2:1
    22.08.2025 Almere City - Willem II 0:1
    17.08.2025 Willem II - FC Eindhoven 0:1
    10.08.2025 ADO Den Haag - Willem II 5:1
    02.08.2025 Eupen - Willem II 1:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag981027:72025
    2Cambuur1072121:12923
    3Jong PSV1062221:13820
    4Roda1053215:14118
    5Willem II1052312:13-117
    6Dordrecht1044215:11416
    7Waalwijk1043316:14215
    8Den Bosch942320:18214
    9Helmond1041511:14-313
    10De Graafschap933315:14112
    11Venlo1040614:17-312
    12Maastricht103259:14-511
    13Oss1032516:22-611
    14Eindhoven FC103259:16-711
    15FC Emmen1031615:21-610
    16Almere City930619:1549
    17Jong AZ1022612:19-78
    18Jong Utrecht1022612:20-88
    19Jong Ajax1013616:22-66
    20Vitesse631211:101-2

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