Result
0:1
12/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 20
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (215/289) | 86% (504/586) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (215/289) | 86% (504/586) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (29/58) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (59/103) | 65% (68/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Nap J. ↓, Souren N. ↑,
- 24', Ciranni A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Balk R. ↓, Ferrah I. ↑,
- 66', Sjostrand O. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
- 73', van der Sande J. ↓, Visser K. ↑,
- 73', Mulders R. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,
- 74', El Allouchi M. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
- 74', Bamba S. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
- 75', Henstra I. 🟨,
- 90', 0 - 1, Ferrah I. ⚽,
- 90+1', Tjoe a On N. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Willem II
40.3% | Draw
25.3% | Cambuur
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Willem II's performance.Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cambuur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Willem II that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cambuur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Willem II - Cambuur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.75) |
3.68 ↑
(3.5) |
2.71 ↑
(2.22) |
7.1%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Willem II - Cambuur?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Cambuur will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 9.6% – 70.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Willem II (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cambuur will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Willem II (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cambuur (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 1.
- Recent performances by Willem II have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cambuur is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
van Berkel N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cambuur: Nap J.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Cambuur?
Willem II has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambuur won against Willem II?
Cambuur has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Cambuur were as follows:
06.09.2025
Cambuur
-
Willem II
2:2
02.02.2024
Willem II
-
Cambuur
1:1
17.09.2023
Cambuur
-
Willem II
1:0
Latest results of Willem II
Latest results of Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
